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@lpaz
Luis Pazmino
27 following15 followers
LVMH's Works of Art
Maybe I'm understanding the phrase "in particular" wrong, but LVMH owns ~EUR 2 billion in "works of art"?
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Is China uninvestable? ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
I keep reading opinions that label China as an uninvestable country, but havenโ€™t really heard a compelling argument. Do you think China is uninvestable and, if so, why? Looking to test my ideas here.
Is China uninvestable?
33%Yes
66%No

6 VotesPoll ended on: 7/5/2023

I think this recent wave of opinions on the topic could be attributed to Alex Yao of JPMorgan published a set of gloomy reports on firms like Alibaba and Dingdong. It's quite an extreme position to rule out all the investment opportunities in China. Sure, one has to be aware of the geopolitical risks however I agree that I find the arguments lacking.
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JD.com & the China Discount
Even within China's tech sector, $JD seems to be disliked a lot during 2023. Imo it looks like a solid opportunity at these levels. Quality company that's easy to ignore because 1) it's in China, and 2) it's just another retailer, for now.

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Great work on $JD, @lpaz! I own some and it is one of my few Chinese stocks at this point, but I have been reluctant to add due to geopolitical risk.
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Markel Corporation: Baby Berkshire
When I hear something is "the next X", I tend to dismiss it without even looking. That's what I initially did with Markel. Until I heard a couple of Tom Gayner interviews. After spending a few weeks researching the company, I'm deeply impressed by what the've built. $MKL

Take a look at the post if you're interested in learning more about this fascinating company๐Ÿ‘‡

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company
$TSM is a fascinating company in a cut-throat industry. Spent a couple of weeks researching the business. While it's a fantastic business, I don't really think it's cheap enough at the moment to peak my interest. If you can look beyond the geopolitical issues however, it's not a bad addition to a watchlist. See more below ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ


Market Forecasts
2022 was a brutal year for almost every asset class. While some forecasters or market gurus got it right (probably by predicting the same thing every year for the past 10 years), almost every Wall Street forecast I've seen got it wrong. But forecasters are skilled at sweeping their bad guesses under the rug. I'll give them that.

Market and macro forecasts are shiny distractions from what matters in investing. My first post of 2023 is a short reinforcement to focus on what's important and knowable, and to ignore Wall Street and "expert" macro forecasts ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

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luisepazmino.substack.com
The Important and the Knowable
2022 & Beyond

We enjoyed reading this.
Asking yourself "What's Knowable" whenever you're pondering an investment decision can really help separate the signal from the noise. Too often we're distracted by the noise, and spending too much time obsessing over the predictions of others is counter-productive. We suffered from this affliction in our first decade of investing. Now we just ignore the forecasts from the institutions, including those we get emailed from our own bank and broker. Just click delete.
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Dec 2022 Portfolio
Tons of work still to be done, but making some progress towards feeling very comfortable.

Only new position in the past 3 months has been Brookfield Corp $BN. Had been analyzing the company for almost a year, and price action post spin gave a good opportunity.

Added to $GOOGL, $NTDOY and $BABA. No sells, although I keep watching $INTC like a hawk. Such is the nature of turnarounds.

Closely watching $MELI. It's getting to a price where I'm considering significantly increasing the position.

The following companies are also on my investable universe, but still waiting for the right price.

Couldn't be more excited for what's to come in 2023. Here's to lower prices for longer! Happy New Year!
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My Portfolio
Have pondered for a while whether it would ever be sensible to share my portfolio online. In the end, the value from potential discussions and disagreements will probably be quite high so have decided to go for it.

It's a continuous WIP and I'm excited to continue improving it by finding great businesses at good prices. Breakdown below ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

Also sharing a list of companies that are in my investable universe but haven't bought yet, as well as companies I'm currently researching or that are in my next-to-research list ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

I expand a bit more on my portfolio in my latest Substack post: https://luisepazmino.substack.com/p/my-investment-portfolio
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luisepazmino.substack.com
My Investment Portfolio
A Breakdown as of Nov 2022

This is excellent work Luis !
You have excellent global spread with index funds SWDA and IWQU and you have your active manager bet with PSH.
I love how you don't have a direct holding in Apple given it's a 41% position in Berkshire Hathaway and the largest positions in both SWDA and IWQU.
I've seen plenty of portfolios where there's what I consider to be a bit of a double up in Apple.
When we look at the composition of other people's portfolios, there are definite telltale signs which era the investor started building out their portfolios.
Most portfolios of the last 10 years have a bias weighting towards tech. If you look at ours and exclude our massive allocation to index fund VTI, we're still heavily weighted towards staples like KO, JNJ, MCD. DIS, MKC and WM.
It will be interesting to see if you add any of these types of staple businesses to your portfolio given that you've listed plenty of them in your "to research" list. Without looking at current valuations (and not a current recommendation), I'm always partial to MKC. I just can't imagine a world without spices and condiments, and MKC is the dominant global player. This is one stock I've always been comfortable holding through any challenging times to the point where I don't actually monitor it much anymore. It's one of my very few set and forget stocks.
Keep up the great work !
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