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@prometheus
Lester Leong
$14M follower assets
Data scientist that is curious about the financial markets. Mostly long-term holding but sprinkles small short-term positions. YTD (2023) doing a value portfolio. Thinking of making a separate YOLO account later on.
184 following155 followers
Any good business/ investing podcasts?
Anyone recommend their favorite podcast for business or finance? Been looking for more content to consume while walking the dog 🐕

I like the Meb Faber show, Canadian Investors Podcast, Howard Marks’ The Memo. I have many others on deck but those are the first 3 that come to mind.
+ 17 comments
$AMAT: A Powerhouse in the Semiconductor Industry
Hey all - let's talk about Applied Materials (AMAT), a titan in the semiconductor industry. 🚀

AMAT is the world's largest supplier of manufacturing equipment to the semiconductor industry. With the ongoing global chip shortage, AMAT is in a prime position to benefit. Here's why:

1️⃣ Strong Financials: AMAT's Q2 2023 net income was a staggering $1.33 billion, a significant increase from the previous year. This shows the company's ability to generate profits consistently, even in challenging market conditions.

2️⃣ Solid Fundamentals: With a return on equity (ROE) of 45.6% and a return on assets (ROA) of 14.7%, AMAT is a powerhouse in terms of financial health and efficiency.

3️⃣ Innovation and R&D: AMAT is a leader in innovation, with a strong commitment to research and development. This allows the company to stay ahead of the curve and maintain its competitive edge in the fast-paced semiconductor industry.

4️⃣ Positive Market Sentiment: The Wall Street target price for AMAT is $158.14, indicating a positive market sentiment and potential for future price appreciation.

5️⃣ Dividend Yield: AMAT offers a forward annual dividend yield of 0.67%, which is attractive to income-focused investors.

In conclusion, AMAT's strong financial performance, solid fundamentals, commitment to innovation, positive market sentiment, and attractive dividend yield make it a compelling investment in the semiconductor industry. 📈
$AMAT will be over $136/share on 2023-08-20?
Validated to: Yes
0% AgreedDisagreed 100%
6 Votes

Progressive Corporation: A Rollercoaster Ride Worth Taking?
Hey there, fellow investors! Let's talk about Progressive Corporation ($PGR), the insurance giant that's been making waves in the market. Despite a recent 12.3% drop in stock price following a Q2 earnings report that fell short of Wall Street expectations, there's more to this story than meets the eye.

First, let's dive into the bullish case. Progressive's Q2 earnings may have been lighter than expected, but let's not forget that they still swung to a profit. The company has a solid track record of success and is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for insurance products. With a robust balance sheet and a commitment to innovation, Progressive is poised to ride the wave of the changing insurance landscape.

Moreover, Progressive boasts a strong customer base and a loyal following. Their long history of providing quality service and products has helped them remain competitive in the insurance market. And let's not forget their management team, a group of dedicated professionals committed to creating shareholder value and delivering long-term growth.

Now, let's flip the coin and look at the bearish case. Progressive's Q2 earnings were below expectations, and their stock has been on a steady decline since the
start of the year. Their revenue growth is slowing. These could be signs of financial distress.

Additionally, there's been a shake-up in the management team, with several high-level executives selling their stock. Another potiential negative sign.

So, what's the verdict? Progressive Corporation is at a crossroads. The recent drop in stock price following the Q2 earnings report may be a disappointment, but it's crucial to remember that the company is still performing well overall.

CEO Tricia Griffith has highlighted that the company's net premiums written were up 8% YoY, and operating income was up 4%. Despite the Q2 hiccup, Progressive maintains a strong financial position and is well-positioned to seize future opportunities.

Analysts' opinions are mixed, with Goldman resuming a neutral stance, Macquarie upgrading to outperform, and Citigroup and CLSA downgrading their ratings.

In conclusion, Progressive Corporation presents a complex investment opportunity. Whether you're bullish or bearish, one thing is clear - this is a company worth watching. As always, do your own research and understand the risks before investing.
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The stock performance has been great over the last five years.
Looks like @mlemuel has been buying the dip. Would love to hear their thesis
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+ 1 comment
🚀 FICO: The Maths Wizard Set to Revolutionize Lending? 🚀
🔔 Ladies and Gentlemen, hold on tight! We're about to embark on an adrenaline-charged roller coaster ride through the number-crunching world of Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE: $FICO), the nerdy Wall Street kid who's reinventing the lending scene.
Picture a world where lenders adjust their pricing to rising interest rates without breaking a sweat or panic-selling on Wall Street. Welcome to the world of FICO, where numbers talk and BS walks.

💥Why $FICO?💥
Having fueled the data-driven decision-making revolution in the lending industry for years, FICO has now taken on the challenge of making sense of the financial madness we call the stock market. Let's dive into why these data sorcerers are worthy of your hard-earned coin.

🚀Bullish Thesis🚀
Believe in a future where analytics and decision-making technology rule the world? Then it's time to back up the truck on $FICO.

1️⃣ Solid Fundamentals: FICO is packing a debt-to-equity ratio of a skinny 0.3. With a balance sheet as healthy as a Wall Street salad, they're poised to flex their financial muscles when opportunity knocks.

2️⃣ Superior Tech: FICO isn't resting on its laurels. Their continual investments into tech are turning heads and opening wallets. Their mathematical optimization technology is the stuff of Star Trek, giving them a serious edge over their rivals.

3️⃣ International Expansion: Tired of the same old Western markets? So is FICO. They're making a big splash in emerging markets, bringing their unique brand of analytics wizardry to fresh shores.

📉Bearish Thesis📉
But hey, it's not all champagne and caviar. Some are claiming it's time to hit the brakes on $FICO.

1️⃣ Waning Revenues: The bears are growling about FICO's three-year streak of declining revenue. Pair that with a couple of quarterly losses, and you've got some on Wall Street reaching for the Tums.

2️⃣ Fierce Competition: The IBM and Oracle elephants are stampeding in FICO's niche, leveraging their tech and customer base to snatch a larger piece of the analytics pie.

3️⃣ Stagnant Leadership: Critics say FICO's CEO has been complacent at the helm for over a decade, with little strategic change stirring skepticism about the company's ability to innovate.

🎯The Verdict?🎯
Fair Isaac Corporation is an enigma wrapped in a riddle, served with a side of algorithms. They're pioneering the way for the next generation of data-driven financial services, but the road ahead is full of speed bumps and pot holes.
Whatever side of the $FICO debate you find yourself, there's no denying the company's drive to push the boundaries of what's possible in the financial world. Will they overcome their challenges and continue their ascent to the data analytics throne? Only time will tell.
$FICO will be over $777/share on 2023-08-05?
Validated to: Yes
0% AgreedDisagreed 100%
3 Votes

🚀 $O: The Realty Income Corp Ride - Climb Aboard the Dividend Express 🚀
Introducing the Income Maestro (Realty Income Corp - $O)
Heads up, Wall Street aficionados! Ready to delve into the magnetic realm of real estate investment trusts (REITs)? Let’s shine the spotlight on Realty Income Corp. (NYSE: $O) - the Dividend Express that’s been chugging along since '69, regularly dropping bags of cash in shareholder stations.

The Golden Portfolio
This ain't no average Joe. Realty Income holds sway over an incredible 6,000+ property portfolio spread across 49 states. They've got their chips in retail, office, industrial, and residential properties. This type of diversification could keep them steady, even if one sector hits a rough patch.

The Ironclad Balance Sheet & Dividend Galore
Do you want robust? Realty Income's financials are like a fortress in an economic storm. With a mouth-watering dividend yield of 4.5%, significantly higher than your average REIT, this is a dividend lover's delight. Moreover, their payout ratio of just over 50% points to a dividend well shielded by earnings.

History in Dividends
History lesson time! Realty Income is a straight-A student raising dividends for 25 consecutive years! And no, they aren't just scraping through; they're acing the dividend game. This isn’t just an achievement; it's a promise to their shareholders, year in, year out.

The Management & Growth Strategy
Let's not forget the masterminds steering this dividend juggernaut. Realty Income's management keeps its eyes on the prize, focusing on acquisitions and dispositions and keeping a tight rein on costs. Shareholder value isn't just a buzzword here; it's an endgame.

The Bear Growl
However, it ain't all sunshine and roses. Realty Income is exposed to a softening housing market, rising interest rates, and investor confidence wobbles. Still, as we all know, the brightest rainbows follow the fiercest storms.

Recent Highlights & Analyst Attention
Back to good news - Realty Income’s Board recently announced a dividend hike from $0.22 to $0.23 per share – their 94th quarterly rise! They've also been on a property shopping spree in the Midwest. The bulls are seeing green, with ScotiaBank recently upgrading to "Sector Outperform" and a price target of $69. On the flip side, Raymond James has taken a more bearish stance, downgrading to "Mkt Perform."

The Bottom Line
Bull or bear, that’s your call! But with Realty Income's consistent history and steadfast commitment to shareholders, those seeking a steady income stream might want to keep this one on the radar.
$O will be over $60/share on 2023-08-04?
Validated to: No
0% AgreedDisagreed 100%
14 Votes

I don’t get the appeal with most reits personally. The S&P kicks their butt for the most part, I get most pay consistent dividend and it’s income to some people but me personally I’d rather just own the S&P for the long term. Reits just don’t do it for me. Not to say people shouldn’t invest in them lol
+ 11 comments
First ever recorded rug pull
So, I'm out here doing research on financial events in history and came across this beauty

"In 1687, treasure hunter William Phips returned back from his very successful expedition in search of a sunken ship rumored to be full of diamonds and silver. The ship did have treasure, 32 tons of it. The investors that funded Phips’ journey received a 10,000% return on investment, setting off a wave of excitement in London’s investment community. There was an explosion in new “sea diving engine” companies that claimed to help treasure hunters stay under water for longer periods of time, theoretically making it easier to find treasure.

Almost all of these companies were fraudulent, and none ever replicated Phips’ original success. There was also an explosion in IPOs for non-diving related companies, such as the White Paper Company."

TLDR: Some dude made a 100x and scammers popped up to collect from others FOMO'ing in.

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