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@celineromero
Celine Romero
56 following20 followers
The Supreme Court's decision to strike down student loan forgiveness will hurt retailers
40 million Americans had their student loan payments paused for almost three years, and then had reason to believe (for 10 whole months) that $20k of their loans would be eliminated.

10 months is plenty of time to change habits— meaning, those borrowers probably got used to spending the money they would normally be putting towards student loans.

When student loans resume in September / October, that will directly pull discretionary money out of the economy.

Here are the companies I think will get hurt:

Walmart $WMT
Target $TGT
Home Depot $HD
Kroker $KR
Foot Locker $FL

Who am I missing?
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You could make the argument that Walmart will benefit because borrowers will be looking for cheaper options.
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The Myth of Financial Literacy (An Opinion)
Poverty does not exist solely because there is ignorance in how to handle personal finances. I imagine that is part of it. But I think most people know perfectly well they should be saving and investing more. They don't because they can't.

People are desperate to make ends meet because the wealthy have been able to leverage their position into better opportunities and policies for themselves.

The number of people trading stocks exploded during the pandemic.
More than 10 million new brokerage accounts were opened by individuals in 2020 — more than ever in a year.

When normal people got the opportunity to invest, how did they do?

They trounced the market:

This suggests that the problem is not "literacy" or "knowledge", but means.

"Financial literacy" is a loaded term. "Literacy" is cultural— not strictly measurable. It may seems innocuous as asking: “can you read or write?...” but there's always the follow up of: “can you read or write well.”

"Can you save and invest?" Seems harmless.

But: "Can you save and invest well?" — implies “...like me and my peers, who already have lots of assets and a different opportunity set.”

Saying there needs to be more "financial literacy" is tantamount to saying 'if those people only knew what I know about finances, they'd be as well off as me."

If you knew what Jeff Bezos knows, would you be as rich as him?

Personally, I don't think so.

There's more to wealth than knowledge. There's also timing (luck), opportunities (luck), initial capital inherited from parents (luck), etc.

Normal people are "financially literate," thank you very much. Give normal people a little bit of capital, and they'll find creative ways to squeeze a company like Game Stop and make money. But you need money to make money. And normal people don't have it.

The entire concept of financial literacy is an illusion suggesting that knowledge can replace the primary concern facing normal people — they do not have enough money.

And that problem is a policy choice.
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Detroit Free Press
Why new investors bought stock during the COVID-19 pandemic
New investors tend to be young, lower income, and more racially and ethnically diverse, according to a new study about investing during the pandemic.

To add on... "Financial education should be taught in schools" is a favorite line because it's so obviously a dead end.

People who need money to pay for groceries and make rent don't need more education, they need enough capital so that "investing" is a meaningful exercise.

Let's say you have $250 this month for groceries. Do you invest it and hope for a 7% return on the year? That would amount to $17.50. Or do you buy groceries? You buy groceries.

"Financial education should be taught in schools" is a distraction tactic to shift attention from the real conversation, which is a tough one: how will we change our system so that the rich have less and the poor have more?
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The Financial System is built to exploit the poor and indebted
NerdWallet
How to Cash a Check (And Save on Fees) - NerdWallet
Learn the three steps to cashing a check and where to go, especially retailers that charge low fees. But there's one place to avoid.

Would you say Neobanks like Chime are a step in the right direction to help solve the problem of the indebted being exploited?
+ 14 comments
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