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@youngmoneycapital
Young Money Capital
$91.9M follower assets
Providing deep competitive advantage, strategy based equity research. Not investment advice.
172 following855 followers
$SNOW Buyback
Hot take for the Commonstock

$SNOW stock buyback makes sense. They are an extremely capital light business and don’t have many expensive avenues to reinvest. It is better to return capital to shareholders than to overpay for an acquisition that is not needed.

I’m ok with the buyback but they aren’t returning capital to me. They’re offsetting SBC dilution.
+ 6 comments
Rewarded Factors Question
Niche investing question. As the market gets more efficient, would companies with rewarded factors then price at higher multiples and thus over time the rewarded factor no longer generate alternative beta? Am I thinking about this correctly?

Interesting thought and has validity seeing improving market efficiencies. On the flip side, with instant information and increasingly connected markets, it may also open up more opportunities to take advantage of price dislocations from emotionally driven decisions? All very theoretical here!

Mental "gymnastics"; I was going to use another word after watching a lot of South Park but I do not wish to be banned ;)
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Cybersecurity Question
Anyone have a strong opinion of the competitive positioning of $CRWD vs $S?

I wrote a piece recently comparing historical vs present day valuations, you can check that out here:


As far as competitive positioning I think both have an incredibly long runway in the nascent XDR market. SentinelOne is and has been committed to the MSSP GTM strategy, which CrowdStrike is trying to catch up to now.

Both sides say their win rates are better, but I have seen some analysts I respect compare SentinelOne’s tech favorably to CrowdStrike.
+ 3 comments
Is e-commerce a good business?
$AMZN retail has scale and distribution advantages over other e-commerce players, yet is still unprofitable. How are the 2nd through 10th strongest players in e-commerce supposed to compete? How long will it take the industry to consolidate and for e-commerce as an industry to have positive margins?

@mavix02/04/2023
I think Amazon eCom business is highly affected by investments in the delivery network. I don‘t see real margins for Amazon in the core eCom business, but more in the marketplace & delivery service business. Companies like Etsy or InPost that are focusing on these businesses are able to be highly profitable. But also companies like Revoltion Race ($RVRC) that only focus on a eCom D2C business while building a brand are able to show good margins in their business. But Amazon itself will not be able to build such a brand imo
+ 3 comments
$ITI Up Double Digits on Earnings
$ITI's stock ran up into earnings and crushed all expectations. I wanted to share a couple of takeaways from the ER.

On taking market share

Margins/Supply Chain Issues

IIJA funding is starting to flow to $ITI
post mediapost media

$ITI Earnings
Prior to earnings, I was hoping for $ITI to show positive adj EBITDA margins. They did way more than that. They showed positive OCF and had a massive guide for adj EBITDA. On the call they also referenced a big deal from the Infrastructure Act. Surprised they are only up 1% AH.

Thesis Drift/Earnings Season
One thing that has helped me as an investor, is before each earnings call for stocks I own, I write down what would make me sell the stock. Helps prevent thesis drift.

Started doing this a while back. I usually write a paragraph (maybe a couple bullet points) of WHY I own it, what would make me sell. If you find that over time, the paragraph no longer looks like the business you own, and that you can't reconcile or get down with the new thesis, its time to sell.
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