Karan Malhotra's Posts

Karan Malhotra

@karan1048901/16/2023

Stocks for the Long Term

Ben Carlson with an amazing graphic in his latest piece, sometimes a picture is truly worth a thousand words

You can get crushed over 5 years, even have a lost decade here or there, but the longer the horizon, the easier it gets

Full piece: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2023/01/the-long-term-wins/

A Wealth of Common Sense

The Long-Term Wins - A Wealth of Common Sense

Some people might think it’s bizarre that turning the page on the calendar should matter to investors. Why do investment professionals care about the end of a month, quarter or year? These periods do seem arbitrary but the changing of the calendar from one year to the next offers a good chance for market nerds...

Benjamin Buchanan

@01core_ben01/16/2023

I love these graphics. It's buy and hold on for dear life for me.

+ 2 comments

Karan Malhotra

@karan1048912/23/2022

Scariest Time in history? Really?

Just saw this wild stat on Twitter. Bearish bets (puts) vs bullish bets (calls) at an all time high. How are people more afraid now than 2020 or 2008? And after q3 GDP print of 3.2% vs 2.5% expected?

Global pandemics and the collapse of the global financial system is less scary than positive GDP growth??

Or have options become overused and abused to unreasonable levels?

https://twitter.com/WillieDelwiche/status/1605910370081771524

X (formerly Twitter)

Willie Delwiche, CMT, CFA (@WillieDelwiche) on X

CBOE equity put/call ratio had never before been above 1.5. Yesterday it was above 2.0.

Preston | Investor Insight

@investorinsight12/23/2022

This is manipulated now given the 0DTE puts/calls daily on the market. While this metric used to be very valuable, it now does not hold the same weight.

+ 1 comment

Karan Malhotra

@karan1048909/02/2022

Stock Market Indicators

Just saw this great study from Y charts and the piece de resistance was this chart right here:

Something to remember the next time a fintwit macro god posts charts warning of doom mongering, it's as effective as dart throwing.

Source: Which Leading Indicators Best Predict Market Declines? by YCharts

YCharts

Which Leading Indicators Best Predict Market Declines?

Author: YCharts, Catalog: Which Leading Indicators Best Predict Market Declines? Published: Aug 24, 2022

Nathan Worden

@nathanworden09/02/2022

So only the buffet indicator from 2000 to present was right more than 50% of the time? Wow

+ 5 comments