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@dollarsandsense
Dollars and Sense
$15.2M follower assets
Investor focused on finding the best companies at the cheapest prices. Investing for the next 40 years and just trying to beat SPY
56 following1,088 followers
You Can Now (Technically) Invest In Commonstock!
With today's news of Commonstock being acquired by Yahoo, it means anyone can (technically) own a part of the company.

Yahoo is a company owned by Apollo Asset Management and Apollo is publicly traded, $APO. So if you have always wanted to invest in the best investing social media platform ever, today you (technically) can.

In all seriousness congrats to the Commonstock team, they all rock.
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We never knew you could still get indirect stock exposure to Yahoo. How cool !
We used to be shareholders in Yahoo (YHOO), picking it up after the wreckage of the 2000 bear market.
Our thesis was Yahoo would remain one of the most comprehensive media sites/portals, so we placed a small bet that it would survive, and hopefully thrive. Yahoo Finance and Yahoo Sports were the crown jewels of the Yahoo family. It didn't quite pan out and we lost patience after 6 years. Sold out for a 11.2% loss, but the position was less than 1% of our portfolio so we must have treated our bet as a speculator at best.
09 Jan 2001: Buy YHOO @ $29.81
11 Dec 2006: Sell YHOO @ $26.47
Looks like $VZ still has a 10% stake in Yahoo, so all you Verizon shareholders will have a tiny stake in Commonstock !
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The Rise and Fall of A Wall Street Icon
I spent the better part of two months making one of the most comprehensive videos detailing the investing career of Carl Icahn.

I hope you enjoy.

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YouTube
The Rise and Fall of a Wall Street Icon
Today we delve into the past, present, and future of one of the most fascinating men in finance, Carl Icahn.----- CHANNEL PARTNERS:Join Me on CommonStock ➤ ...

Intel, Cautiously Optimistic
A surprising quarter to be sure. I want to take some time to hit on some surface level stuff that I noticed and will put out a deeper dive a little later.

Profit is back. In a shockingly big way too. Intel crushed their April guidance for Q2 not only delivering a beat but also returning the company to profitability. Despite this Revenue, Gross Margin, and EPS are all still down quite big overall.

A lot of this seems to be from this statement from the CFO. Exiting less profitable lines of business has saved the company nearly 2 billion. From earlier statements they continue to be on track to save $10 billion total by 2025.

The actual business unit breakdowns paint an interesting picture. For the first time since they started reporting it Mobileyes revenue went down. Previously this has been the fastest growing business segment. Instead that title now goes to Intel Foundry Services. This growth in IFS is despite Intel failing to announce any major new customers.

Back in June Intel held an event for their newest line of business Intel Foundry, after the event Intel stock sunk 6%. Because Intel announced MediaTek as a client at last years version of this event many we're expecting an even bigger announcement this year. When this didn't happen investors didn't like it, clearly. Despite this the segment grew very well.

Again this is just some surface level stuff and I want to dig deeper whenever Intel files their 10q for this quarter. That deeper dive will probably be up in a few days.
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Thanks for 800 + Portfolio Is Back
Hit 800 followers today. Halfway to catching myself on Youtube, and my portfolio finally relinked after a little while of it being broken. Portfolio updates coming soon. Very Cool
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Taking Another Look @ $CRWD
I would be lying if I said I didn't like Crowdstrike. In fact, it may just be one of my favorite public companies ever. What the company represents and the challenges it seeks to solve and has already solved are astounding. That's why I have a really hard time evaluating the company. But let's give it a go anyway.

For those that don't know Crowdstrike is a Cloud-Based Cybersecurity company. It offers multiple platforms on top of which companies and individuals can run their cybersecurity operations from. That is the simple dumbed-down version and here is the pretty chart that explains everything more technically.

While there is now a lot of competition in this space Crowdstrike was really the first the wheel this idea out and definentey have first movers advantage. They are also maintaining the lead by continuing to innovate.

After having had the opportunity to speak with someone who works in the cybersecurity space, specifically in banking, they said that the Crowdstrike platform is uniquely easy to use and integrates well with other platforms such as VMwares Carbon Black and even Microsofts ecosystem.

While these are the main competition along with SentinelOne $CRWD seems to be in a league of their own.

But in terms of actual operations there is a lot to like.

ARR has continued its rapid path upward. When I wrote about Crowdstrike a number of months ago this was my biggest concern, if they we're going to be able to keep this growth up, and it seems they have.

Crowdstrikes consistent ability to cross sell its own services is also fairly impressive and isn't something I see brought up to often but seems to be a market of a great service.

And its not like these customers are going anywhere, in fact they are spending more and more money every year.

While Gross Margins seem to be leveling out I think this is somewhat to be expected as the company gets to scale, it seems exceedingly rare for companies to really get much higher in terms of gross margins.

Its weird to see this because it seems like everytime I revisit Crowdstrike I am telling the same story. More exponential growth every quarter.

This seems almost contrary to the stock price over the same time period. Having halved from its all time highs just 2 years ago. Despite this the company still seems relatively expensive trading at 10x Sales and 80 times last years FCF.

Ultimately it might be time to consider Crowdstrike worth the premium given its position and the industry it is in. But that requires even further research...
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Q2, A Distant Quarter
Over the last 3 months I have almost completely ignored my portfolio, all my positions, and any buying or selling of positions. This is likely what led to the big underperformance of the last quarter.

I lost my nearly 3-year streak of beating at LEAST the Dow Jones every quarter. Unfortunately, things have not gone too well (but not bad either), so let's take a look at some of the positions.

$CVS is up first as the positions lost about 8% over the last 3 months being one of the largest losers in my portfolio.

This dip in price has been led by a whirlwind of negative news, first a report detailing how a surge in older Americans are catching up on surgeries that we're previously put off because of the pandemic. This along with the $15.7 billion dollar settlement in Illinois over the opioid crisis, CVS will be paying that large new debt over the next 15 years.

Other than that no really negative news about the company itself which is good to see.

$T has been the other major loser with the company recently lowering postpaid subscriber guidance.

The main drag was their Q1 Earnings. Free Cash Flow came in lower than expected, but the rest of the quarter looked pretty good. Postpaid additions were solid, ARPU grew Q/Q, and 5G rollout + Fiber subscribers both saw an uptick and are on a good path forward.

It doesn't seem like there was to much wrong with the report other than investors (many of whom seem to still be income investors) balked at AT&Ts uneasy cash flow situation.

Those two seemed to be the biggest losers, Paypal ended up down in the last 3 months but only a few percentage points, everything else was up.

I must admit it feels really good to have Intel be the biggest winner of my portfolio in the last 3 months. $INTC really did;t have good news but instead benefitted strongly from Nvidias run on the back of AI.

The company has been quite busy however, from a new $33 Billion dollar plant in Germany (with government help that is), to new plants in Poland and Isreal, and several new product reveals.

Despite this a 17% rise from my largest position was unable to keep my portfolio afloat.

The other big winners are the pair of $DXJ and $DXJS. For a long time I have been a proponent of investing in Japan. The country recovering from the pandemic benefitted massively as its huge industrial sector recovered and the ETF has been rocking and rolling.

During this a report came out that most of this price action is from foreign investors looking to score big in the country. And this run, as seen nearly 40 years ago is being faded by Japanese investors who are running for the exits.

Given this development I imagine this performance will likely come to an end as international investors lose favor in the country.

Those were the high level, big stories from my portfolio over the last few months. Again it seems much of my underperformance actually came from a lack of activity, usually I am consistently bottom ticking my buys for my largest positions but that has been absent this last quarter.

Over the next few weeks I plan on getting back into the swing of things and continuing the consolidation of my portfolio into strong positions.

I hope you enjoyed this little recap and I look forward to future posts.
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Fierce Wireless
AT&T lowers estimates for Q2 postpaid subscriber adds
Speaking at a Bank of America analyst event this morning, AT&T’s Chief Financial Officer Pascal Desroches said that AT&T expects its postpaid phone net adds in the second quarter to be abou | AT&T's CFO cited a few factors causing postpaid phone net adds to drop. One is that AT&T walked away from a government contract that it determined wasn’t sufficiently profitable, and that contract included 75,000 postpaid phones. 

Boy have I missed your posts lol. Was about to reach out to you on twitter dm tbh lol. Very happy to hear you haven’t sold or given up on CVS. Think you and me are the last ones on here from day 1 lol. The older Americans catching up on surgeries is such a non story. Everyone knew that. They’ve talked about it before. I couldn’t believe United healthcare fell so much on that report. In regard to settlement for opioid stings a little for sure but again not enough to change the thesis. The problem with cvs has been there just ain’t any positive news in healthcare with cvs or United healthcare. Stock is severely undervalued though. I can’t believe it’s still down here. It all started with them adjusting full year eps because of the acquisition costs. I’m gonna do a write up on cvs over the coming days and I’m definitely gonna tag you so you can read it. I’m a huge believer in cvs especially with the acquisition of signify and oak street. I think it’s a two horse race in healthcare and cvs and United healthcare are clearly ahead of everyone else. But cvs has a lot more benefits that United healthcare don’t have. I’ll explain it all in write up lol. Just happy to hear you still own and haven’t sold. We ride this out together. Hopefully earnings gives us a boost. Healthcare sector in general is severely undervalued just like energy. Rotation from tech to us will come.
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$FOSL, A Continuing Struggle
Fossil is a surprisingly deep company from the iconic Fossil watches to Michael Kors, Armani Exchange, Kate Spade, and Diesel the company boasts a "House of Brands."

Unfortunately, these brands do not seem to be at the forefront of many consumer's minds. The Fossil Group has struggled immensely over the last few years. As of their most recent earnings report, Revenue had fallen 14%.

This caused the stock to fall 10% sparking a greater selloff that saw the company tank 30% in two weeks.

In fact the carnage the market cap of $FOSL has fallen to $120 million, less that their total cash on hand of ~$198 million. This excess cash is nothing compared to their total debt of $835 million, $425m of which is very current debt.

This fact is made worse when you see that the company is unprofitable and is continuing to guide for negative revenue growth and continual unprofitability going forward.

There is one particularly interesting part of their most recent earnings. Direct-to-Consumer grew by high single digits and comp sales grew as well in all regions. This growth couldn't stop the destruction of the wholesale channel though.

I think it might be time for long time CEO Kosta Kartsotis to finally step down and bring in a new leader to turn things around. I say these because I feel Fossil might not have much time left without some pretty major changes.
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In your experience with consumer goods companies like $FOSL that are flagging due to depleted appreciation for the brand, how successful is a change in leadership likely to be? Is the idea that a new CEO would bring a different approach to marketing?
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Nikola Is Doomed
Easily one of the funniest things I have seen from a public company. Running Ads begging shareholders to vote to let Nikola almost double their shares outstanding. It's almost inconceivable to me how they are still operating.
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Boston Omaha + 24th Street AM
Boston Omaha has sealed the deal and acquired the remaining portion of 24th Street Asset Management.

24th is a Real Estate investment company that deals in both equity investments and hard money loans. Interestingly they define themselves as Value Investors.

Despite only having been founded in 2019 the asset manager is up to $123m in AUM across its real estate portfolio.

In total the acquisition will cost an extra ~$5m and serve as an interesting new line of business for $BOC as they could now be in the somewhat dubious business of Hard Money Loans.
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$PYPL Potential New CEO
It's old news, but Paypal CEO Dan Schulman is stepping down at the end of the year, and no replacement has been announced. Recently an analyst from Bank of America has made a prediction and a case for why Bill Ready should become Paypal's next CEO.

Bill Ready is the newly seated CEO of Pinterest having taken on the mantle just under a year ago. So the important question to be asked is why Ready should take over.

When PayPal acquired Braintree in 2013 it brought on board Bill Ready who was the CEO of Braintree at the time. So he has experience in both building and shipping specifically payment-based products. In addition, he left PayPal to work at Google before getting picked up by Pinterest.

Personally, I think the idea makes sense and it would both be ironic and hilarious if Paypal took another swing at acquiring Pinterest not only because that merger makes sense but it would as give an opportunity for Schulman to leave and Bill Ready to take his place.
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I personally don't see Ready leaving Pinterest any time soon. And the merger might make sense for PayPal but not for PINS imo
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