Daniel's Posts | Commonstock

@danielb11/20/2022

If people are worried about the fed breaking the economy, they should have more faith. Short sharp periods of rising rates followed by long periods of easing. They are doing nothing special or different in this instance.

Daniel

@danielb11/20/2022

& Regardless of high inflation, i believe it was important that rates return to some sort of “normal” level, we all have to remember why they were so low in the first place (emergency levels)

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Daniel

@danielb10/13/2022

Global container freight index

Whats everyones thoughts on this index being a reliable leading indicator & major contributing factor for global inflation?

Tracking in a nice direction 👌

Dissecting the Markets

@dissectmarkets10/13/2022

Because shipping costs are usually a small part of a firm's cost of goods sold, I doubt that seeing shipping costs plunging are going to lower inflation.

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Daniel

@danielb10/08/2022

First Post. Portfolio & strategy

Hi all,

New member, first post. Love reading everyones insights and analysis.

Im an Aussie investor currently constructing a portfolio mainly concentrated on the type of companies everyone here is into.

Id like anyones suggestions or opinions on how i should act given the US dollar relative current strength to foreign currency, in my case the AUSD. I am keen to continue taking advantage of the current downturn in US Tech but need to consider the currency risk.

(Few Aussie companies in my portfolio that you may not recognise)

Nathan Worden

@nathanworden10/08/2022

Welcome! I have a lot of the American tech companies you hold (or at least ones that are correlated with them). To be honest, I’ve been having thoughts about selling some of them—

But it’s important to remember time horizon. If you don’t need the money for 5-10 years, trying to predict what will happen in the next year or so could backfire. It’s hard to tell.

My random hit take is that upstart is a pretty large allocation if you’re not completely ok with it dropping another 30%. I hold a little upstart as well (thanks @jorkyo), but I think I’m the bear market environment we’re in, they’re a pretty risky bet to have at that allocation.

Just a random opinion! My opinion isn’t worth making critical investing decisions off of, of course 🙂

+ 13 comments