Conor Mac's avatar
$327.1m follower assets
What are Tomorrow's Consumers Doing?
Piper Sandler issued their Spring 2022 'Taking Stock with Teens' report not too long ago, with the aim of investigating trends amongst US teens. with respect to commerce, payments, fashion gaming, and more.

Here are 5 of the more interesting takeaways.

TikTok is now the #1 favourite for teens at 33%, with Snapchat taking a passenger seat (31%), and Instagram riding in back at 22%.

In terms of actual usage, the top three are reversed, with Instagram commanding the majority of monthly active usage. $SNAP $META

Athletic apparel is growing in popularity as teens' favourite apparel brands.

Nike continues to be number one, taking up a 29% share, but Lululemon is growing in mindshare and ranking. $NKE $LULU

As cable continues to dwindle (down 8% in the last 4 years), Netflix and YouTube take up an equal footing in terms of teens' daily video consumption, both at 30%. $NFLX $GOOGL

Teens predominantly use Apple Pay as their smartphone payment system, followed by Venmo, Cash App, and PayPal. PayPal does lead in BNPL penetration, however, followed by Afterpay, a Square company. $SQ $PYPL $BAC $AAPL $WFC $JPM

For greater context, 32% of teens surveyed do not have a traditional bank account. Cash remains the most popular payment mechanism, followed by debit cards, credit cards, checks, and BNPL accounts for just 5% of monthly usage.

Findings show that 26% of teens own a VR device, but that 48% of owners seldom use it, and only 5% are frequent users.

Of those who don't own one, 32% (the majority) are not interested in purchasing one. $META

iPhone ownership remains close to record highs with 87% owning one, with 87% suggesting their next phone will be an Apple one $AAPL. Ownership of Smart Watch reaches 35%, at record highs. Plans to buy an apple watch decline. $AAPL

Lastly, for laughs, because the opinion is about as useful as a chocolate fire escape, teen economists believe the economy is set to worsen (71%), compared to 46% last spring.

That was more than 5, but thanks for coming to my ted talk.

The full report can be found here:

post mediapost media
$BAC Adds
I recently initiated my position in $BAC just in time for $JPM and $WFC to miss their earnings and drop the sector πŸ˜‚ how do we think $BAC will do with their earnings next week?
How will $BACs earnings do?
30%Beat expectations
30%Fall short
38%Meet
13 VotesPoll ended on: 04/18/22
Stocks patterns post Earnings - Week April 11th
The earnings season starts this week! Here are the reports I will look into and how the stocks performed historically, 1 day after the earnings release.

My favorite earning plays this week are $MS and $BLK.

JP Morgan $JPM - April 13th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -0.6% πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = + / - 2.4%
  • % of positive returns = 42% πŸ”΄

Blackrock $BLK - April 13th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.2% 🟒
  • Average price move = + / - 2.9%
  • % of positive returns = 67% 🟒

Delta Air Lines $DAL - Apr 13th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -0.8% πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = + / - 2.5%
  • % of positive returns = 42% πŸ”΄

Fastenal $FAST - April 13th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.4% 🟒
  • Average price move = + / - 4.0%
  • % of positive returns = 42% πŸ”΄

Bed Bath & Beyond $BBBY - Apr 13th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -3.0%πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = +/- 14%⚠️
  • % of positive returns = 42%πŸ”΄

Morgan Stanley $MS - April 14th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.5% 🟒
  • Average price move = + / - 2.0%
  • % of positive returns = 75% 🟒

Goldman Sachs $GS - April 14th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -0.4% πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = + / - 2.0%
  • % of positive returns = 58% 🟒

United Health $UNH - April 14th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.1% 🟒
  • Average price move = + / - 3.0%
  • % of positive returns = 58% 🟒

Wells Fargo $WFC - April 14th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -1.7% πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = + / - 4%
  • % of positive returns = 33% πŸ”΄

Citigroup $C - April 14th before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -1.6% πŸ”΄
  • Average price move = + / - 2.3%
  • % of positive returns = 25% πŸ”΄
post mediapost media
What to watch for the week of 4/11/22
Are you prepared to take on the markets this week? If not, here is a graphic that I created of some of the most anticipated potential catalysts for the week beginning April 11th. Hopefully this can help you navigate your investing and trading decisions. Feel free to save this post for reference. Let me know what’s on your watchlist in the comments. Follow my page so that you never miss any upcoming scheduled market events. If you find this helpful and would like to view more of my work, consider subscribing to my Patreon. Link in my bio. $SPY $F $WFC $QQQ $ALLY $BBBY $KMX $PGR $C $GS $MS $JPM
post media
3/21 - 3/25 Watchlist
As a little background of myself I am an options trader that focuses on trades around market structure.

The strongest sectors going into this week will be $XLF $XLK $XLC $XLY
I won't be trading those sectors themselves but I'll be taking their top holdings and comparing them to how they perform against $SPY in the recent days.

*While all plays are nice for equity I'll be hand selecting my favorite ticker from each section. Feel free to ignore the big list at each section and skip straight to the charts.

Currently my favorite plays will be longs within the FINANCIAL SECTOR
$BAC $WFC $JPM $MS $SCHW $BK are some great stocks to be looking at as we see strength coming in. I'll be picking up calls on demand zones while giving myself 2 weeks of time.

$BAC is holding breakout levels / demand zone very nicely. I'll likely be looking to add right on open assuming no gaps happen. I do believe with financials rotating in we can see financials climb pretty fast.
43c 04/01
45c 04/14

COMMUNCATION SERVICES

Personally my favorite is going to be $FB. Retail doesn't seem to understand that when a large cap runs, it RUNS. This can go on for much longer than expected. I expect small pullbacks but we just played $FB last week and had our cons go from $1.00 to $10.XX

However, do keep in mind we are testing supply zone right now. Although I expect a clean break and that we start making our way towards the gap fill.
220c 03/25
250c 04/14

$TWTR is seeing a breakout and some unusual volume imo. I took a stake in it for fun and as sentiment to Meta.
40c 03/25

$DIS $NFLX are coming along with sentiment to the rest of the market, but still just on watch. Not quite seeing the strength I want.

TECHNOLOGY
I can chart these upon request but honestly there are so many other's charts out there on these stocks. These are all going to be relatively strong right now with $QQQ pushing up.
$NVDA has NVDA day coming up, but I'd rather be playing the sentiment. $AMD is most notable here due to how close it is to breaking out.

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

$NKE has earnings and is seeing momentum on it. Would love to pick up calls right on Monday open and ride the IV til close. Otherwise you can choose to lotto calls and reduce your risk with spreads. Personally going to be swinging 2:1 CALL:PUT spreads.

$MCD is seeing buyers behind it once again and I'm ready to enter long. Going to be looking for retest of demand zone and entering when that happens. We do have a gap fill at the bottom but I don't believe we'll fill it. In the case that we do break demand zone I'll sit patiently and wait til we build a base.
250c 04/14

$HD still seeing strength is close to gap filling. I've actually been in this guy since the bottom, however feel free to daytrade this one. On successful retest of 336 it looks good for calls and ready to gap fill.
350c 03/25

Still working on my formatting, but hoping I was properly able to convey what I wanted!
post mediapost media
Fincredible MacroTalk: Macroeconomic Insights
Last week, the Atlanta FED released their latest projections for the Q1'22 GDP growth: +0.1%. This would mark a big deceleration in GDP growth, and represents a stark contrast to the views presented by bank executives during their latest earnings calls.

The Fincredible MacroTalk goes over bank executives' views on macro aspects like GDP growth, consumer spending and balance sheet, and more. Here are four quotes that seem to indicate the U.S. economy is in great shape.

GDP Growth:
Credit & Debit Card Spend:
Consumer Balance Sheet:
Loan Growth:

If you'd like to read the whole post, here's the link:


Quotes from $WFC $BAC $PNC $JPM $C $BK
My favorite trade of 2021
In early 2021, I bought multiple major N American banks (specifically $WFC, $C, $BAC, $TD).

This was a sector play given (a) valuation - Trading close to or below (tangible) book value (b) loss reserve release would boost EBIT and (c) inflation/interest rate hikes seemed on the horizon. The risk of crumbling economy and fin-tech startups seemed low to me.

Not only a good return (40% plus), it's provided liquidity. I've sold a third in the past month (and likely sell another third) to invest in my favorite high tech names now at reasonable valuations.
Next
Commonstock is a social network that amplifies the knowledge of the best investors, verified by actual track records for signal over noise. Community members can link their existing brokerage accounts and share their real time portfolio, performance and trades (by percent only, dollar amounts never shared). Commonstock is not a brokerage, but a social layer on top of existing brokerages helping to create more engaged and informed investors.