What Happened Last Week in Special Situations?
  • Western Digital $WDC announced review of strategic alternatives after Elliott's push to split.

  • Zymeworks $ZYME adopted shareholder rights plan after All Blue Falcons’ proposal.

  • Aerojet Rocketdyne $AJRD feuding CEO and Chairman filed opposing shareholder presentations.

  • Hasbro $HAS activist Alta Fox lost battle for board seats.

  • Hemisphere Media $HMTV shareholder Edenbrook Capital says takeover price dramatically undervalues company.

  • New Relic $NEWR activist JANA won two board seats.

"Since 2008 [JANA's activism campaigns are] averaging a return of 16.2% versus 9.4% for the S&P 500 over the average nine-month holding period."

  • $GSK spin-off Haleon starts life with target on its back.

"Those factors may lead some investors to steer clear, depressing Haleon’s valuation. It could prove more appealing to a rival...Haleon may find it harder to repel a suitor next time around."

  • Vodafone $VOD preps spinoff of IoT biz.

"Buried in Vodafone's annual report is the revelation that IoT is being prepped for a spinoff. Greater independence from the parent company 'will help to accelerate the platform's growth and attractiveness...'

  • JetBlue $JBLU submitted an improved proposal to acquire Spirit $SAVE.

90% Investor
My profile claims I am 90% Investor / 10% Trader.
My experience in the 10% is relatively limited but I have enjoyed the ups and downs while documenting lessons learned and understanding the variety of strategies. Thus far, my posts have been devoted to this 10% because it is new & exciting for me... but what about the other 90%??

On this side of things, it's pretty quiet.
Before going majority cash, I bought solid/established/quality names ($MSFT, $JNJ, $TGT, $T) or index/thematic ETFs ($QQQM, $SPY, $BUG) and forgot about them. Boring, right?
I look forward to when the market bottoms and starts to turn the corner to put 90% of my money back to work.

With that said, I would like to briefly touch on 2 high conviction holdings that have survived my move to cash.

1) $ZIM (sea-freight shipping/logistics company)

With all the supply chain challenges, shipping rates have soared and ZIM has been a FCF monster. They IPO'd in early 2021 and have been rising ever since. The company recently held their Q1 results announcing a 10% increase in full-year 2022 EBITDA guidance and a $2.85/share dividend. Perhaps most importantly, the company believes this environment will maintain throughout 2022 (and may extend into 2023):

Fairly volatile price action which makes it appealing for buying/selling shares or options (only CSP's or CC's for me!).

2) $ASTS (Satellite 5G direct to smart phones)

This one is more speculative.
In a nutshell: they are launching a large satellite array (named Bluewalker 3 - BW3) soon ("this summer") that will test 5G service from space directly to existing smartphone hardware. I believe the recent price action (current price ~$7.00) is partly due to the expectation that a date was to be announced at their Q1 earnings call (it wasn't).

Following successful BW3 launch and testing, a series of "BlueBird" satellites are planned that will provide service to actual customers.

I may be wrong on this but, for the 1st time, I noticed new names (Scotia Bank & Morgan Stanley) on the Q1 call. Looking into it, Scotia Bank actually released a May 9th report titled "Space Mobile: If Successful, BW3 Could Disrupt Global Tower Industry Within 20weeks". Deutsche Bank is one of the first banks to cover the company and recently adjusted their price target to $31.00 (down from $32.00). I expect Morgan Stanley to initiate coverage in the near future.

Additionally, the company seems to be making good progress on all fronts:
  • Backed by American Tower & Rakuten
  • Allegedly on track to complete their "Site 2" facility this year (designed to manufacture 6 "BlueBird" satellites per month)
  • Granted experimental license by the FCC for BW3 launch / testing
  • MOU's with strategic telecom providers ($TEO, $T, $LILA, $TEF, $AMX, $TIGO, $VOD, $MTN.JO, $ORAN)

Keep Treading!
post mediapost media
UK Stocks - 10-Baggers?
  • Schroders crunched the numbers and show that 6.9% of the UK universe ended up being a 10 bagger in the last decade (2011 – 2021).
  • This, contrary to the popular narrative, is higher than the US market (5.7%).
  • UK is also seeing a big lift in private equity activity, inbound M&A, and activists ($VOD, $UL).
  • The overall market is cheap (though this is partly due to sector composition).
  • Good hunting ground?
post media
That's actually really interesting! The only UK stocks I've really dug into are $BTI and $MANU, but now that Brexit has effectively concluded, it'll be interesting to see if valuations get back to "normal"
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Eric Pelnik's avatar
$273.5m follower assets
Earnings this week
Monday, Nov 16th
$VOD Vodafone Group
$PANW Palo Alto Networks
$TSN Tyson Foods
$SDC SmileDirectClub
$BIDU Baidu
Tuesday, Nov 17th
$WMT Walmart
$HD Home Depot
$KSS Kohl's
$SE Sea
$NIO Nio
Wednesday, Nov 18th
$NVDA Nvidia
$LOW Lowe's
$TGT Target
$CLX Clorox
$CPB Campbell Soup
$SONO Sonos
Thursday, Nov 19th
$INTU Intuit
$WDAY Workday
$WSM Williams-Sonoma
$M Macy's

Friday, Nov 20th
$FL Foot Locker

Sources: Business Insider, Yahoo Finance!, and Google Finance
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