Worst Performing
Tough day for travel ✈️ and solar ☀️.

$CCL, $NCLH, $UAL, $CZR, $SEDG, and $ENPH are all among the worst-performing stocks in today's market. Let's take a look at their recent fundamental performance to see if this is well deserved or an overreaction.

Each of these companies are down more than 5% during today's trading session.

Each of these companies are also down more than 30% from their recent highs but have seen explosive growth with the reopening of the economy.

Despite this growth, only the two solar companies saw positive net income in the most recent quarter.

After accounting for their recent sell-offs. Here is how these stocks compare based on their forward revenue expectations.

What do you think? Are these sell-offs warranted? Are any of these stocks attractive at current prices? Why, or why not?
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I sold back my original Daqo position last week. It was up 52% in less than 2 months; I left the profit in the position. If I get lucky like that, I’m not greedy. Today was their biggest drop I’ve seen in a bit.
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Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
$17.3m follower assets
This Can't Be Good
The market's so bad finviz says a handful of my stocks are trading below their 52-week lows.

Maybe I've just never noticed this before. 😂

If you DCA, make sure to do a little shopping today -- eyeing some $ABNB, $NVDA, and $SEDG myself.
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Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
$17.3m follower assets
4 Stocks I'm Holding Forever
I recently wrote about four companies that I plan to hold forever thanks to the long-term megatrends working in their favor.


A key takeaway for each:

$TTD: $NFLX turning to ad-supported streaming strengthens Trade Desk's incredible potential as it looks to dominate digital advertising.

$ZM: Zoom's optionality is finally taking shape, with its younger, non-Rooms products now accounting for over 10% of total revenues combined. Still very early -- but promising.

$DOCN: DO gets option-like potential from its customers as it joins them in their infancy and grows alongside them. Due to their massive size, $AMZN, $GOOG, and $MSFT don't usually touch this startup and small business niche.

$SEDG: If ever there was a company with clear megatrends working in its favor, it'd be SolarEdge. With solar power generation expected to 9x by 2050, SE's leadership position making inverters and power optimizers makes them critical to this expected growth.
Which stock will perform the best of this group through 2040?
20%SolarEdge
5%DigitalOcean
30%Zoom
45%Trade Desk
20 VotesPoll ended on: 06/10/22
If oil goes to $200, here's what I'm bullish & bearish on
Bearish:
$UBER $LYFT $DASH $GRUB and other gig economy transportation platforms
$AAL $UAL $DAL $LUV and other airlines
$KNX $JBHT $USX $SNDR and other trucking companies

Bullish:
$TSLA $F $GM $RIVN $LCID $FSR and other electric vehicle manufacturers
$SEDG $RUN $ENPH $TAN and other solar stocks
$XOM $CVX $OXY $PXD $COP and other oil stocks

Oil companies today have pricing power like never before. Automakers have pricing power like never before. Solar companies, they'll soon start jacking up their prices as demand for solar energy systems surges during the summer.

Meanwhile, fewer people are gonna use their vehicles to offer ridesharing services and food delivery services because already, fuel costs are eating up a majority of their earnings. Also, airlines will have to balance between finding ways to attract passengers to fly with them (through lower prices) and not deterring them through higher prices (since they want to pass down the higher fuel costs to customers).

Trucking companies have it the worst. The industry has been commoditized as all truckers are essentially independent contractors with their own trucks and they do their own deliveries. The smaller companies are more vulnerable to high oil prices. Meanwhile, the larger trucking companies will have to bump pay for truckers to justify them making deliveries amid the high fuel costs.

These times are unprecedented. We need to drill more oil. Bring back the fracking revolution. The OPEC cartel members have an incentive to produce a lot more oil than their current production target.

Reactivating nuclear power plants takes months or even a few years. Quadrupling down on renewables requires heavy investment and a lot more raw materials, which we are currently struggling to import. Plus, transitioning to a green energy economy takes a very long time. The green energy solutions we currently have aren't dependable. The wind doesn't blow all the time. The sun doesn't shine all the time and it doesn't shine every day and every month. Geothermal plants and hydroelectric plants can only be built in certain places. Biomass may seem viable but we don't want to cause food prices to rise because we're now removing food supply for the sake of energy production.
I don't argue that higher oil prices are good for ALL EV makers, but I can't rationalize the valuations of $RIVN $LCID $FSR and others. While I do believe $TSLA is wildly undervalued (watch their EPS growth this year), too much unearned credit has been given to others trying to follow in tesla's footsteps. These new players have a long way to go before justifying their current valuations, let alone any future growth.
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Upcoming Earnings Calendar (Feb 14th - 18th)
Hey guys! Here's the upcoming earnings calendar! Three of my holdings report next week.

  • $ABNB - The stock has held up pretty well during the market sell-off. The valuation is still high, but with re-openings the company could see a big boost this year.
  • $TTD - They've said Apple IDFA is a non-issue, so their growth should be great. A key indicator of ad spend.
  • $ROKU - The stock is down almost 64% from ATH, but the fundamentals keep improving. I expect great results from the company, with ARPU growing and margins expanding.

If you'd like an easier way to track earnings dates, you can automatically sync your portfolio's earning dates to your personal calendar with just a couple of clicks here.

MON:


TUE:


WED:


THU:


FRI:
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Upcoming Earnings Calendar! (Nov 1-5)
Hey guys! Here's next week's earnings calendar! Several very interesting companies set to report earnings. Here's the one's I'm most excited about and why:

  • $APPS: any sign of iOS ad dollars shifting to android (Digital Turbine's revenues are mostly from android).
  • $Z: an update on the real estate market and iBuying
  • $LYFT and $UBER: is mobility in the US back to pre-pandemic levels?
  • $COIN metrics on the NFT market.
  • $PENN and $DKNG update on the mobile sports betting market.
  • $ATVI number of Call of Duty Warzone players. The last reported number was 100MM.
  • $CRSR: comments on the supply chain issues they're experiencing.
  • $MELI: update on the Brazilian e-commerce market. Relevant for $SE's expansion.
Comment below which earnings report you are looking forward to the most!
Friendly reminder: you can automatically sync your portfolio's earning dates to your personal calendar with just a couple of clicks here.

MONDAY

TUESDAY

WEDNESDAY


THURSDAY

FRIDAY
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ztinvesting's avatar
$99.5m follower assets
10 Trends for the 2020s
Hello everyone!
I am very excited to be a part of this platform and am very grateful to @mcd for all of the hard work he has put in developing this incredible platform. I have just started exploring all that Commonstock has to offer, and I am looking forward to being along for the ride as this platform grows.
A bit about my investing strategy: I am a young investor with a long-term, buy-and-hold outlook. I am looking for innovative, disruptive companies with mass appeal to younger generations and huge growth potential. Overall, my portfolio is molded around two main ideas, both taken from the great David Gardner:
  • "Make your portfolio reflect your best vision for the future." I invest in companies that I believe are pushing the world forward in a meaningful, inclusive, and sustainable fashion. When a company falls out of line with my best vision for the future, I put my money elsewhere.
  • "Find out where the world is going - and get there as soon as possible." Between my life experiences, reading, research, and conversations, I have attempted to continuously shape my understanding of where the world is going. As I find trends that I believe reflect the future of our society, I search for companies capitalizing on those trends and invest in those that I find to be exciting.
Those trends are the subject of this post. See below for my thoughts on ten exciting trends that I believe will come to define the 2020s, as well as some of my top investment ideas for each!
'
1. E-Commerce - As society becomes more and more interconnected and focused on convenience, e-commerce is a trend that is poised to thrive. We have already seen the potential that e-commerce can have with $AMZN, but there is plenty of exciting potential elsewhere as well. Over the next decade, I expect e-commerce to thrive globally. Top Ideas: $AMZN, $SHOP, $MELI, $SE . . .
'
2. Financial Technology - Young people are increasingly distrustful of banks and increasingly excited by technology-based companies that help manage and improve financial outcomes. At the same time, banks have historically left out significant portions of the population and have lost the faith of the people in countries across the world (Brazil, etc.). Some very exciting companies have emerged to fill this void, and I expect great results from them over the long-term. Top Ideas: $SQ, $PYPL, $MA, $STNE . . .
'
3. Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) - Over the last few years, a plethora of high-growth, exciting software companies have emerged. These companies offer cutting-edge services that save others time and money, while making business operations faster, more efficient, and more valuable. All SaaS companies will definitely not be successful, but the best of them have huge runways for growth. Top Ideas: $CRWD, $DOCU, $DDOG, $TWLO . . .
'
4. Advanced Technology - As society advances, people's technological needs become more specified and more advanced. While this shift has left some historical winners behind, it has accelerated the growth of a handful of exciting advanced tech. companies. Top Ideas: $NVDA, $AAPL, $GOOG, $MSFT . . .
'
5. Clean Energy - With climate change as a prominent issue, society is making a massive shift towards clean energy sources. Alternative energy sources such as solar and nuclear power are gaining more and more traction, while electric vehicles are captivating drivers across the globe. This is a young, crowded space, but some leaders are certainly emerging in this high-growth industry. Top Ideas; $TSLA, $MP, $SEDG, $ENPH . . .
'
6. Healthcare - The healthcare industry is outdated, inaccessible, and undesirable to patients throughout the world. Between costly insurance plans, outdated technologies, and absurd prices, there is plenty of room for disruption. In the last few years, dozens of thrilling companies have emerged to fill these voids, and offer promising returns to shareholders over the next decade. Top Ideas: $TDOC, $NNOX, $ISRG, $TMDX . . .
'
7. Remote Lifestyle - Coupled with the interconnectivity that has been brought about by globalization, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated a societal shift to a more remote lifestyle. This does not necessarily mean work from home, but rather an overall trend in which people across the globe can access essential services, conduct international meetings, and hire global talent from the comfort of their own home. Not all pandemic winners will thrive over the next decade, but some certainly will. Top Ideas: $ZM, $FVRR, $PTON, $WORK . . .
'
8. Real Estate - In the United States specifically, the real estate industry is outdated, inefficient, and complicated. In recent years, a couple of innovative companies have debuted compelling alternatives to the traditional real estate system. In such a large industry, these companies offer investors a unique opportunity to invest in high-growth, easily understandable companies with a massive TAM. Top Ideas: $RDFN, $Z, $IPOB . . .
'
9. Genomic Revolution - Gene editing companies have burst onto the scene over the last few years, promising revolutionary cures to complicated diseases and a massive shift in global medicine. An investment in these companies is highly speculative, but there are some incredible companies with the potential for huge returns in this industry. Top Ideas: $ARKG, $NVTA, $CRSP, $EDIT . . .
'
10. Online Gambling - Online gambling, and particularly sports gambling, is a quickly growing market in the U.S. and globally that offers potentially huge returns for investors. There are some regulatory hurdles to clear, but I believe that those hurdles will be cleared over the next decade and that some big winners will emerge in this industry. Top Ideas: $DKNG, $PENN . .
'
Thank you so much for reading this post! I would love to hear anyone's thoughts or comments on these trends or additional companies/trends that you believe will thrive over the next decade. I will be posting more thoughts on this platform over time, and I also post additional ideas on my twitter @ztinvesting!
Love this memo! I agree with much of what you wrote. I haven't looked into online gambling or genomics as much as I should. $SGEN has been one of my best investments. $TRUP has also been great this year for me. Really excited about healthcare tech. Or just anything that's going tech.
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