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$CELH is just on 🔥 (and I'm kicking myself for not picking up any when I was looking at it around $40), $ROKU making a little comeback since last week's report, and a surprising report for $UBER!
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Oil Drilling Activity
After years of underinvestment in hydrocarbon supply, rig counts and oil rig inventory (DUCs) are at very low levels considering WTI Crude is trading at $117/bbl.

The ultimate cure for high prices is high prices; however, the marginal producer over the course of the last 10 years (U.S. shale) may be running out of good wells to drill; the logical move would is offshore. $VAL $RIG
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Margin of Safety in Hydrocarbons
Factors Putting A Floor In Hydrocarbons
  1. Global Energy Demand
  2. WTI Crude Oil Curve
  3. Financing Standards
  4. Emission Scenarios - Demand Divergence
  5. Lack of Demand Destruction
  6. Demand (In)Elasticity

Midstream & Deepwater Drilling
  1. Energy Transfer ($ET)
  2. Transocean ($RIG)

This post was published on March 26, 2022. Appreciate your sign ups on Substack (the newsletter is free and aims to optimize for time spent and knowledge acquired when reading Andermatt's research.)
Oil & Gas | A Boom & Bust Industry In Transformation
In this post, I explored George Soros’ reflexivity framework and explained how it applies to the oil & gas industry. Why there is potential for upside excess and ways to think about asymmetric outcomes.

This post was originally published on March 10, 2022 and I couldn't be more thrilled to share it here on Commonstock!

Alberto Wallis's avatar
$23.8m follower assets
Upcoming Earnings Calendar (Feb 21th - 25th)
Hey guys! Here's the upcoming earnings calendar! Several very interesting reports coming up. Here's what I'll be looking forward to.

  • $MELI - How much did inflation impact their logistics margins?
  • $SQ - Cash App Users and Revenue Growth
  • $COIN - I think they will deliver a monster quarter. Crypto volatility should incentivize trading, driving commissions revenue above forecast.

If you'd like an easier way to track earnings dates, you can automatically sync your portfolio's earning dates to your personal calendar with just a couple of clicks here.




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Alberto Wallis's avatar
$23.8m follower assets
Upcoming Earnings Calendar! (Nov 1-5)
Hey guys! Here's next week's earnings calendar! Several very interesting companies set to report earnings. Here's the one's I'm most excited about and why:

  • $APPS: any sign of iOS ad dollars shifting to android (Digital Turbine's revenues are mostly from android).
  • $Z: an update on the real estate market and iBuying
  • $LYFT and $UBER: is mobility in the US back to pre-pandemic levels?
  • $COIN metrics on the NFT market.
  • $PENN and $DKNG update on the mobile sports betting market.
  • $ATVI number of Call of Duty Warzone players. The last reported number was 100MM.
  • $CRSR: comments on the supply chain issues they're experiencing.
  • $MELI: update on the Brazilian e-commerce market. Relevant for $SE's expansion.
Comment below which earnings report you are looking forward to the most!
Friendly reminder: you can automatically sync your portfolio's earning dates to your personal calendar with just a couple of clicks here.





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