Dividend Forecast - Week of 5/16
Taxable
$HAS - $0.70 per share, $0.71 total, cash
$ABBV - $1.41 per share, $1.48 total, reinvesting
$PG - $0.91 per share, $1.87 total, cash
$CARR - $0.15 per share, $0.91 total, reinvesting
$NSC - $1.24 per share, $1.24 total, cash
Roth IRA
$CARR - $0.15 per share, $1.81 total, reinvesting
Do you have any dividends coming in this week?
2 Years Later - Where are they Now?
I started actively managing my Taxable account in March of 2020. In my spreadsheet, I track my initial purchase dates for each holding. As I have mentioned many times before, I went diversi-crazy when I first started out. Since I was routinely adding new positions, I have a number of holdings that are coming up on purchase date anniversaries.

I initiated positions in two companies on 5/8/2020 - $PG and $RTX. Here is how the Market and these holdings have performed in the last two trips around the sun:

S&P 500 on 5/8/2020: $2,929.80
S&P 500 Today: $4,123.34
S&P 500 Change: +40.7%

$PG on 5/8/2020: $115.95
$PG Today: $156.00
$PG Change: +34.5%
$PG vs S&P: -6.2%

$RTX on 5/8/2020: $58.67
$RTX Today: $95.30
$RTX Change: +62.4%
$RTX vs S&P: +21.7%

Overall Basket vs S&P: +15.5% - not too shabby. Below is normalized growth of $RTX, $PG and $SPX from Koyfin.

A little pick me up in the recent sea of red!

Happy Sunday!
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That’s what drove me to start looking for ways to track my investments across platforms. First few years of learning there was a lot of trading and not a lot of profits, but as I honed skills and realized what info was important and what 98% is BS info I could toss out, returns have turned around quite a bit. Can’t wait to be 2 years down the road and have a better investing journal.
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Earning Presentations 📊
Last 2 weeks of Earning Presentations for the stocks in my portfolio.
Maybe some of you can be interested in 👇

Johnson & Johnson $JNJ

Lockheed Martin $LMT


Procter & Gamble $PG

AT&T $T

Sonoco Products $SON

Genuine Parts Co. $GPC

Kimberly-Clark $KMB (report only)

Verizon $VZ (infographic)

Coca-Cola $KO (report only)


PepsiCo. $PEP (report only)

Archer Daniels Midland $ADM

3M $MMM

Kraft-Heinz $KHC

Microsoft $MSFT (ppt presentation)

Essex Property Trust $ESS (report only)

AvalonBay $AVB

The Southern Company $SO

Qualcomm $QCOM

Altria $MO

Intel $INTC

McDonald’s $MCD (report only)

Now without Fincredible, I need to do the dirty work myself 🤣
Housing Starts, Beige Book, Earnings: Daily Contrarian, April 20
Good morning contrarians! Netflix ($NFLX) is tanking after the company posted disappointing subscriber figures, taking streaming competitors with it…

Several earnings up today: Anthem ($ANTM) just beat on top- and bottom-line estimates. Later this morning we’ll hear from Baker Hughes ($BKR) , Abbott Labs ($ABT), and Procter & Gamble ($PG) .

After the close this afternoon we’ll get Alcoa ($AA) , United Airlines ($UAL), Kinder Morgan ($KMI), and Tesla ($TSLA). Of course Tesla has to report on 4/20.

Read all about it, or listen to the podcast here:
Earnings Week (April 18) 1-day price action
We are up for another busy week of earnings! Here are the reports I will look into and how the stocks performed historically, 1 day after the earnings release.
My favorite earning plays this week are $JNJ $PG and $DHR. $SNAP is a good "lottery" play for the more courageous among us!
I will definitively avoid $TSLA and $NFLX on earning day.
Jonhson & Johnson $JNJ - April 19 before the open.
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.2% 🟢
  • Average price move = + / - 1.9%
  • % of positive returns = 75% 🟢

Netflix $NFLX - April 19 after the close
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -3.9% 🔴
  • Average price move = + / - 7.1% ⚠️
  • % of positive returns = 17% 🔴

Procter & Gamble $PG - April 20 before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.0% 🟢
  • Average price move = + / - 2.0%
  • % of positive returns = 67% 🟢

Tesla $TSLA - April 20 after the close
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -1.2% 🔴
  • Average price move = + / - 6.5% ⚠️
  • % of positive returns = 33% 🔴

United Airlines $UAL - April 20 after the close
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = -2.3% 🔴
  • Average price move = + / - 4.2%
  • % of positive returns = 33% 🔴

Danaher $DHR - on April 21 before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +1.6% 🟢
  • Average price move = + / - 2.1%
  • % of positive returns = 75% 🟢

American Airlines $AAL - April 21 before the open
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +0.3% 🟢
  • Average price move = + / - 4.2%
  • % of positive returns = 50% 🟢

$SNAP - April 21 after the close
1-day performance in the past 12 quarters:
  • Average returns = +10.3% 🟢
  • Average price move = + / - 20% ⚠️ 🎢 ⚠️
  • % of positive returns = 58% 🟢
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What to watch for the week of 4/18/22
Earnings season is in full swing, and the spotlight turns to an array of blue-chip companies across multiple sectors. Despite the numerous upcoming earnings reports, Elon Musk's pursuit of Twitter (TWTR) could still be the top watch this week, with new twists anticipated after the company responded to his hostile takeover bid with a “poison pill” strategy. Some analysts believe that Twitter is unlikely to recapture its all-time-high of $80.75 per share from last year, and that a deal with Musk or another buyer may be the best strategy.
As jam packed as this week may be, the biggest driver of the overall market will likely be the continued pessimism of interest rates, inflation and war in Europe. Analysts will be sifting through company commentaries to see how all of these things are impacting the bottom line. Forward guidance could continue to be poor. Companies are going to whine and complain about cost pressures, even when they’re going to report improved results. So that may cause price action to be a little sloppier.
Hopefully this graphic can help you navigate your investing and trading decisions. Save this post for your reference. Save this post for your reference. Also feel free to repost it across your social media accounts. Be sure to follow me and check out my patreon (link in bio) for more graphics like this. Good luck everyone! $SPY $TSLA $NFLX $SNAP $AXP $JNJ $VZ $T $BAC $QQQ $TLRY $IBM $PG
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Portfolio Bracketology - $AAPL is the Champ!
Portfolio Bracketology has concluded and you have chosen $AAPL as your champ! $AAPL beat $VTI 21 - 16 in the final poll results (combined between Twitter and Commonstock poll).

Below is the final bracket:

The bracket was made up of all 55 of my active holdings - as verified here on @commonstock. Seeding was based on total return since initial acquisition date through 2/28/22. Final rankings are based on poll results - ranked in each round by initial seeding.

Here are final rankings of all 55 holdings based off the results of the bracket (Initial in Parentheses):

  1. $AAPL (3)
  2. $VTI (8)
  3. $O (21)
  4. $HD (42)
  5. $VDE (4)
  6. $BAM (11)
  7. $LOW (32)
  8. $TGT (47)
  9. $XLE (5)
  10. $ABBV (9)
  11. $SCHD (16)
  12. $KO (19)
  13. $VWO (20)
  14. $PFE (26)
  15. $SCHB (27)
  16. $PEP (31)
  17. $CMA (1)
  18. $CARR (2)
  19. $DD (6)
  20. $FUN (7)
  21. $RTX (10)
  22. $SCHF (15)
  23. $VEA (17)
  24. $MCD (24)
  25. $VNQ (28)
  26. $LEG (29)
  27. $SBUX (30)
  28. $HAS (40)
  29. $UL (43)
  30. $DIS (51)
  31. $COIN (52)
  32. $CTRE (53)
  33. $RVT (12)
  34. $VIG (13)
  35. $IEMG (14)
  36. $IEUR (18)
  37. $HASI (22)
  38. $PG (23)
  39. $CNA (25)
  40. $BUD (33)
  41. $CL (34)
  42. $HE (35)
  43. $TIPX (36)
  44. $VTEB (37)
  45. $PPL (38)
  46. $HSY (39)
  47. $CSX (41)
  48. $NSC (44)
  49. $LQD (45)
  50. $KMB (46)
  51. $BLV (48)
  52. $EMB (49)
  53. $T (50)
  54. $CRON (54)
  55. $CHWY (55)

Are there any surprises? Anything that stands out to you?

What are your overall thoughts on Portfolio Bracketology?

I had tons of fun putting this together and getting insight into people's perspective and thoughts on these companies holdings!
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That seems rad to me! I’ve never thought of putting your holdings head to head in a bracketed to-the-death tournament before! How do you determine the lineup to begin with?
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Commonstock is a social network that amplifies the knowledge of the best investors, verified by actual track records for signal over noise. Community members can link their existing brokerage accounts and share their real time portfolio, performance and trades (by percent only, dollar amounts never shared). Commonstock is not a brokerage, but a social layer on top of existing brokerages helping to create more engaged and informed investors.