Stanley's avatar
$2.9m follower assets
Taco Tuesday - 5/10/22
9 stock positions increased/added.

Additional investments into my Stash Portfolio (6)

$ATVI - $94.22 consensus price target. My wife is holding this in her portfolio, new position for me with $MSFT buyout in the works an arbitrage play.

$CROX - $110.22 consensus price target. DCA down from previous buys. Not a 'core' position so will flip for a profit when the market recovers.

$DOUG - $10.00 consensus price target. DCA down from previous buys. Not a 'core' position so will flip for a profit when the market recovers.

$EBAY - $60.41 consensus price target. DCA down from previous buys. Increasing a 'core' position.

$MTCH - $125.00 consensus price target. DCA down from previous buys. Not a 'core' position so will flip for a profit when the market recovers.

$NKE - $164.91 consensus price target. DCA down from previous buys. Increasing a 'core' position.

Additional investments into my M1 Finance "Fat Cat Investing" portfolio (3)

The 'Fat Cat Investing' portfolio is down 1.66% overall today and 4.81% since inception - a part of my ongoing "Real Estate Rumble".
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Paul Cerro's avatar
$18.3m follower assets
Can deeper gas discounts drive more people to sign up for Walmart+?
The news: Walmart doubled the fuel discount it offers members of its Walmart+ program. Members will receive five to 10 cents off each gallon at both Walmart-run and Murphy USA stations (the discount varies based on state regulations).
  • Members will also receive 10 cents off each gallon at roughly 12,000 ExxonMobil stations.
  • The announcement comes days after AAA reported that the national average for a gallon of regular gas rose four cents over the past week to $4.12, which is a 43% increase year-over-year (YoY).

More on this: The increased gas discount provides Walmart shoppers with another reason to enroll in the $98-per-year Walmart+ program, which already offers free delivery on items, like groceries, purchased in stores, free shipping for online orders, and prescription drugs discounts.
  • Nearly all Walmart customers, 91%, are aware of rising gas prices and nearly half of those shoppers have changed their behaviors because of those increased costs, wrote Chris Cracchiolo, senior vice president and general manager of Walmart+, in a blog post. “We want Walmart+ to help our customers save time and money, not only when they’re shopping with us, but throughout their day. We’re excited to continue to find new ways to deliver for them.”

Growing membership: Boosting membership in Walmart+, which launched in September 2020, is a key priority for the retailer.
  • Walmart has a significant opportunity to do so because of its vast reach. About 90% of the U.S. population lives within 10 miles of a Walmart store, according to the company. And 95% of shoppers had visited a Walmart store two or more times in the past year, according to data based on a Numerator consumer panel reported on by Business Insider.
  • However, only 15% of US households had Walmart+ access in February, a far cry from the 62% of households with an Amazon Prime membership, according to research conducted by Bizrate Insights for Insider Intelligence.
  • Increasing that share can produce significant dividends given that Walmart+ members are more lucrative and more frequent shoppers, Cracchiolo told CNBC. They spend more than twice as much with the company as the typical Walmart shopper, since they shop both online and in stores.

Inflation as an advantage: US inflation rose to 8.5% in March YoY, per the US Labor Department, which is the largest increase since December 1981.
  • Soaring gas prices, which rose 18.3% in March, accounted for a significant share of that gain.
  • Periods of inflation push consumers across all income levels to be increasingly price sensitive, which is an advantage for Walmart given its long-standing positioning as a value-oriented mass merchant, CEO Doug McMillon, during the company’s Q4 earnings call.

The big takeaway: Retention is critical to the success of every retailer’s membership program. That can be challenging. For example, while 18.3% of households had Walmart+ access in December, that share fell 3.2 percentage points two months later after the holiday season.
  • While gas discounts may spur some shoppers to enroll in Walmart+, the retailer needs to ensure that it offers a wide enough array of benefits to keep them enrolled.

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There aren’t many Exxon Mobil gas stations in the Bay Area and Silicon Valley. Because of that, I don’t see a need for people to get Walmart+. However, if the gas discounts included Chevron, Shell, Armco, and Valero, then that’s a major reason for people in the Bay Area/Silicon Valley to get Walmart+.

This is coming from a friend who lives in the Bay.
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The Devastation Continues
Here are a ton of stocks at lows and appear to be headed lower:

$JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Banks - Diversified - $386.69B

$BAC - Bank of America Corporation - Banks - Diversified - $317.55B

$ASML - ASML Holding N.V. - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials - $257.15B

$VZ - Verizon Communications Inc. - Telecom Services - $221.35B

$NKE - NIKE, Inc. - Footwear & Accessories - $211.96B

$ADBE - Adobe Inc. - Software - Infrastructure - $204.90B

$CRM - Salesforce, Inc. - Software - Application - $187.74B

$PYPL - PayPal Holdings, Inc. - Credit Services - $112.45B

$BLK - BlackRock, Inc. - Asset Management - $106.91B

$WBD - Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - - Entertainment - $58.36B

$ILMN - Illumina, Inc. - Diagnostics & Research - $53.47B

$ADSK - Autodesk, Inc. - Software - Application - $44.78B

$A - Agilent Technologies, Inc. - Diagnostics & Research - $38.87B

$ALGN - Align Technology, Inc. - Medical Devices - $33.79B

$COIN - Coinbase Global, Inc. - Software - Application - $33.18B

$STT - State Street Corporation - Asset Management - $27.92B

$TWLO - Twilio Inc. - Internet Content & Information - $24.68B

$HUBS - HubSpot, Inc. - Software - Application - $20.53B

$SWKS - Skyworks Solutions, Inc. - Semiconductors - $20.04B

$PAYC - Paycom Software, Inc. - Software - Application - $19.25B

$KMX - CarMax, Inc. - Auto & Truck Dealerships - $14.95B

$DPZ - Domino's Pizza, Inc. - Restaurants - $14.26B

$PINS - Pinterest, Inc. - Internet Content & Information - $14.23B

$ETSY - Etsy, Inc. - Internet Retail - $14.15B
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THIS is what i’m talking about, very aesthetically pleasing post, thanks for putting this together 💪🏼
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$CROX has industry leading FCF Margins
Crocs beats out fashion giants like $LULU and $NKE.
The company's FCF margins come way out on top when you only compare it to shoe companies like $SHOO $WWW $SKX $BIRD $DECK
Should note that FCF margins may drop over the next twelve months due to supply chain challenges, like increased shipping costs and cost of raw materials.
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Weekend Edition # 36
Hi all, The Weekend Edition is back.

Here's what I cover:
  • Recap - $SPX, SPR release, $VIX
  • Sector in Focus - Consumer Discretionary $XLY
  • Earnings - $NKE $RH
  • What I’m watching this week
  • Closing Thoughts - Mixed Signals
HAGW and week ahead!

Good morning contrarians! Fed chair Powell did his best to spook markets yesterday. It even worked for a bit, but now it looks like stocks have resumed their ascent. If you’re keeping score at home it’s been a little more than seven months since Powell last claimed inflation would be transitory…

It’s a pretty slow day today: Couple of Fed speakers. Earnings from Carnival Cruise Lines ($CCL) and later Adobe ($ADBE). What war in Ukraine?

By the way, those Nike ($NKE) earnings we mentioned yesterday? The Barron’s contrarian indicator came through again as Nike topped estimates and the stock rallied by more than 5%.

Full briefing and podcast available here:
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Good morning contrarians! Stock futures are down a bit as of 0630. Major indexes in the U.S. are off about 0.4% to 0.5%. There’s been little movement in Europe and Asia today.

Commodities are rallying, with WTI crude oil up 4% to trade around $107/barrel. Industrial metals tied to Russia and Ukraine (palladium, zinc, aluminium) are up multiple percent again.

Bonds are selling off a bit, with the 2-year yield up 3 basis points to 1.98% whilst the 10-year is up 4bps to 2.18%. Cryptos are flat, with bitcoin down 1% to trade around $41,300.

It’s a relatively quiet week. Speech by Powell at noon today. Nike ($NKE) earnings after the close. That’s it for today so if there ever was a time for investors to turn their attention back to Ukraine, this would be it.

Alberto Wallis's avatar
$8.7m follower assets
Upcoming Earnings Calendar (March 21st-25th)
Two heavy-hitters reporting next week: Nike and Adobe. Really interested in seeing what Nike has to say about supply chains after the recent events. Carnival Cruise and Nio should also be interesting. Full list of companies below.





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