Samuel Meciar's avatar
$7.5m follower assets
Portfolio changes - update 9
Hello friends, today I moved further with my portfolio consolidation process.

  • I sold out of $S, there's nothing specific wrong there, but I stay stunned by just how Microsoft's position throughout all kinds of enterprise software is strong. Crowdstrike, Microsoft and SentinelOne usually score the best in all sorts of 3rd party research, therefore it makes sense for me to consolidate.

SentinelOne is great, but we are entering a very unkeen environment for companies heavily spending instead of bringing cash flows, which I'm fine with, but when looking at the optionality, profitability and growth, I'm very much fine with $MSFT here. Many maybe don't know, but $MSFT is growing its CyberSec division by 50%, or at least did YoY, pulling about $15B in sales last year, which is just INSANE! So, from now on my coverage of CyberSec will be through $GOOGL (soon to likely buy $MNDT), $NET $DDOG $MSFT $ZS and $SNOW.

  • I also sold a position in $SE as I'm beginning to be very concerned about their tempo of cash burn (about $1,9B in Q4 and additional $1,6B in Q1) despite management's encouraging comments regarding coming profitability. So for now, no $SE for me. $MELI in this condition looks like a better R/R now to me.
  • I added significantly to my $MSFT position, should be visible by tomorrow. I also added to my other favorites such as $AAPL $TTD $TSLA and $NVDA.
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I like the stable growth companies with a long track record of success. So I’m definitely with you on the $GOOG, $MSFT, and $NVDA. Analyzing the newer companies is out of my wheelhouse. I like the valuation of Microsoft and Google especially, but bought Nvidia for both kids’ custodial accounts. Personally, I don’t think there are two better companies on the planet than Google and Microsoft to own. When my safety of principle is considered. Especially after they were the sole two companies standing after last weeks research. Impressive.
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Samuel Meciar's avatar
$7.5m follower assets
Portfolio changes - update 8
Hey friends, there's a lot of cleaning I'm doing, for real. It's getting tricky, as there's basically no companies I view as weak in my portfolio, now it's reaching a point where I have to consider just how much the position covers what I want it for and whether there's others that can do so instead, so I can consolidate further. I tend to prefer optionality over specialization. So:

  • I sold $ENPH - it's simply hard for me to pass on $TSLA at $700, I also sold $ASML as I see $AMD $NVDA and $QCOM more lucrative when looking at valuation vs revenue and earnings growth. Again, this all is about personal preferences and there's a lot of bias and other nuances of data points somewhere in my head that get me to those decisions.
  • On the other hand, I initiated positions in $SNOW and $ZS, as mentioned previously. I like this pricing.
  • I added to my positions in $ABNB $DDOG $MDB $NET $COIN (although I'm staying cautious there) $TEAM and $TSLA.
When I was studying Solar in 2015-16, I was screaming at the top of my lungs for people to buy Enphase ~$3. All the experts said avoid, while dropping their fancy acronyms and useless info. Meanwhile, our college entrepreneur program was installing Enphase on literally 100% of our residential installs. Was obvious to us they were going to be the leader in the space. Definitely been crazy over valued for a while now, wise to get out.
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Top Losers Today @ 11am
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hypescaleflow's avatar
$7.5m follower assets
Portfolio plans
My stock buy list for 2022
Crypto: $ETH
Hardware/AI: $NVDA $AMD $TSLA Software: $DDOG $SNOW $CRWD $ZS $MDB I plan make each of these at least a 5% holding, as I believe each is leader and will have the best recovery/growth story going forward
$DOCS –LinkedIn for healthcare?🩺💉
Doximity is a high-growth company that created a platform for U.S. medical professionals (80% of all physicians across the US use this!). I see the platform as LinkedIn with tools specifically made for physicians built into the platform (video tools, telehealth applications).

Mission: To help physicians be more productive and provide better care for their patients

What I like:
  • Net revenue retention rate of 171%
  • Low sales and marketing costs – most physicians join because of network effects
Recurring revenue is a majority of complete revenue
  • Revenue growth (67% YoY)
  • High margins (57% GAAP net margin YoY) – understated
  • Extremely high net income and free cash flow growth.

  • 2 out of 3 co-founders are still involved, one being the CEO.
  • Very high glassdoor ratings. (4.8/5).
  • High insider ownership (27%)

What I don’t like:
  • Competition: LinkedIn, Teladoc and basically any other telehealth business
  • VERY high valuation. (EV/Sales NTM: 15.9, P/GP: 26.4x)

Overall a very strong business, but the stock is pricey! I’ll be looking for an entry at more attractive levels. What do you think?🧐

I’ll be doing more short pitches on stocks like $MELI , $PATH , $U , $NVDA , $DDOG soon, so follow me for more! 😁
Wild week in the market. Some of these earnings reactions are probably more about multiple contraction than poor reports/guidance. I wrote about my thoughts on various earnings reports as well as corresponding portfolio moves $ABNB, $PAYC, $DDOG, $ZI

Other quick thoughts on earnings:

$CFLT - good but not looking to add aggressively
$HUBS - great, will probably add more
$TWLO - good, may add more
$SHOP - not great, but also not looking to sell

Have a great weekend!

1 of 2
My $DDOG trades
Re-allocation of XYL funds.

Transaction Journal Entry:
Q1 rev growth 83%, net income positive, improving FCF and margins, total customers up 30% and >$100,000 rev customers up 60%. R&D expense as a percent of revenue increased in Q1 to 41.5%. Thesis remains intact.

Metrics I track on each buy:
P/S - 28.77
Forward P/S - 16.35
PSG - 0.21
P/FCF - 167
$DDOG earnings.
Great earnings, great guidance! But, the stock is down??!

The market only looks at multiples right now and is bringing the price straight down, just like all other growth stocks.

I’m bullish but staying patient. Let’s see how low this beauty can go.
This shows you how important sector risk is in investing. Great stocks get pulled down for no reason. However, for us it just means a big discount
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