New article out by RethinkX that attributes Russian invasion of Ukraine to a decline in global oil demand (upon which the Russian economy is built). For context, since 2014, Russia's per capita GDP dropped from $14k-9k (35%).

Tony Seba (of RethinkX) predicted Russian aggression in the early 2020's six years ago in 2016. His reasoning: global transition to renewables will leave oil assets stranded - Russia serving as the worlds top oil & gas exporter, would be left uniquely vulnerable and looking for ways to reassert its global power and authority.

If this was the reasoning it backfired in a big way, as many nations are now implementing strategies to accelerate their transition to renewables and achieve energy independence, further accelerating the global energy disruption.

Great article, quick read, check it out:

[https://rethinkdisruption.com/energy-disruption-russia-ukraine-accelerate/](https://rethinkdisruption.com/energy-disruption-russia-ukraine-accelerate/)

It’s such a vicious cycle for Russia. If they do nothing, they’re main export is tanked over the next 8-15 years. If they continue to show aggression, they only accelerate the problem by throwing other world powers’ moral fuel on the fire. Ideally, from your perspective, what would have been the right way forward for Russia? How could they have become the world power they wish to be economically without war and without oil/gas? 

Django Brooks

Russia-Ukraine crisis signals economic and military unwinding of the age of extraction as an entirely new system emerges

https://rethinkdisruption.com/energy-disruption-russia-ukraine-accelerate/