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When everyone's fearful, get greedy
So I'm hearing a ton of doomer perspectives on the market right now. Everyone and Jeff Bezos seem to be fearful of this next downturn. The discussions today really sound a lot like January of this year. Since I'm a shameless contrarian, I thought I'd take the opposite opinion.

Now, I'm not saying that the market isn't gonna go down, I just think we're not in for a massive crash like some people are heeding. There's still a ton of money out there and there's still a bunch of risky investments being made by VCs. I just think we're in a natural cooling period.

What do you think? Think we're in for a massive crash, a cooling period, or everyone's just downright out of their mind?
$SPY will be over $407.5/share on 2022-05-16?
Validated to: No
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23 Votes

Valuabl's avatar
The S&P500 looks fairly valued to me (https://commonstock.com/post/67c366ec-54a9-4406-a456-89283b333b81), so it's a coin-flip from these levels.

Capital costs are rising quickly and many market participants have never experienced that. When combined with declining real GDP, historic levels of inflation, and a hawkish Fed, it's a recipe for fear.
Josh Rozin's avatar
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