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Sea Limited ($SE) - Reporting earnings the morning of 5/17
Sea has a lot of metrics they release, which I appreciate as a numbers nerd. Here are a couple that I'll be looking at:
- For Digital Entertainment: Game QAUs and QPUs, and Average Bookings Per User.
- For E-Commerce: GMV and Take Rate
- For Digital Financial: TPV and Wallet QPUs
I understand the headwinds and the losses are still growing but margins are improving and revenue has more than doubled each of the last three years, and the year before that was 99.7% growth. There has been severe P/S compression (after an admittedly massive run-up). If Sea has a really good quarter and Garena shows improvements, I could see a 20%+ spike.
Current position:
Total cost basis: 47th highest in my portfolio
Time since first buy: 1.38 years
Number of purchases since initial position: 3
Annualized return: (73.0%)
Annualized $SPY return: (1.0%)
Annualized $QQQ return: (12.1)
Doximity, Inc. ($DOCS) - Reporting earnings the afternoon of 5/17
Their penetration with doctors (~80%), nurses (~50%), and physician assistants (~50%) is what brings in the Doximity customers. The app is free to the users and available to companies via subscription fee.
Here's what I'm looking for:
- Show me a great fiscal year Q4 to cap off the year. Give me >$100MM in revenue for the first time ever in a quarter.
- >325 customers generating >$100,000 in revenue.
- Can NRR stay at the incredible highs it's been recently (167%, 173%, 171% the last 3 quarters)?
- Keep those margins at record levels.
I'm worried there will be underwhelming fiscal year 2023 revenue guidance which will cause severe multiple compressions. A 25%+ drop like we've seen in quite a few companies would not be a huge surprise to me.
Current position:
Total cost basis: 44th highest in my portfolio
Time since first buy: 0.86 years
Number of purchases since initial position: 2
Annualized return: (48.4%)
Annualized $SPY return: (13.2%)
Annualized $QQQ return: (25.7%)
Globant S.A. ($GLOB) - Reporting earnings the afternoon of 5/19
Globant is coming off an incredible 2021. Here's what I'm looking for to start 2022:
- After 59% in 2021, I genuinely have no idea what revenue growth will look like.
- What kind of customer growth (both total and >$1MM in revenue) will they show?
Current position:
Total cost basis: 40th highest in my portfolio
Time since first buy: 0.35 years
Number of purchases since initial position: 3
Annualized return: (57.2%)
Annualized $SPY return: (32.3%)
Annualized $QQQ return: (46.5%)
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