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The quote to look for in the FOMAC guidance
If this quote, or something like it is in the FOMAC statement today, that will signal a Fed pivot later this year:

"The Committee anticipates that the stance of monetary policy will most likely be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over time but will closely monitor incoming information and assess the implications for monetary policy.”

For the record, my current bet is that the Fed does not guide for lower rates, and this will weigh on the market tomorrow.

$SPY will be under $409/share on 2023-05-04?
Validated to: Yes
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