Decided to bail on $INTC due to the dramatic dividend cut for a 10% loss. I wasn’t sure where I wanted to invest next, so I put the money in $TSM as a placeholder. $TSM seems like a great investment opportunity, it just doesn’t fit my normal criteria.

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Right now I can get a 6mo CD for 4.9% from Fidelity (https://fixedincome.fidelity.com/ftgw/fi/FILanding?bar=p#tbcds%7Ctreasury%7Ccd-new-issue%7Call). Instead, I’m hoping for a return from $TSM greater than that amount (closed around 86.83 so 4.9% increase would be about 91.05).

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Do you think $TSM will have a greater return than the 6mo CD rate at 4.9%? The polling option could only go out one month and not six, so best predictions appreciated!