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Cash generation
What big opportunities will reveal themself in the next 3-6 months- when I say big, I mean where you are willing to put in 10% of your entire investable amount within a short period, and don’t mind waiting out for an economic cycle to play out and multiples to expand like they did in 2020-2021.

I’m watching for drops in couple of companies across multiple sectors and growth rates. Names include $TXN $SIVB $TSLA $NVDA $TTD, just to name a few. Some have stable returns and yields, some are high growth with income, and some have strong relationships that enable high beta growth vs the economy and should be invested when things look bleakest. I have added some stakes last weak, but I don’t believe things look quite so bad just yet…

I don’t like watching too many names. I would say 10-15 names are sufficient if you know them (and the industry) well, and have an updated checklist on each of them and their competition.

I’m keeping a 30-35% cash position while waiting…

Thoughts?



Sachiv's avatar
PS - I should add this post is an evolution of my thinking from my learnings by losing a LOT of money by not listening to many many amazing posters on fintwit and various substacks. Rather than be 100% buy and hold, it would be wise to CONSIDER a part of both the speculative(eg biotech) and low/medium quality (eg high cash burn, high SBC cos) positions to be subject to market cycles, and act accordingly… thoughts and criticisms always welcome!
Sachiv's avatar
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