- Wake up
- look for cash under mattress to dump into stocks
- remember you don't have any cash there either
- grumble/bitch
- wait for shit to recover


![](https://cdn.commonstock.com/d9edfe785ad6e426211859c3d4561ace7b7e3eeacc1ffa16fff9f76c1d58d672-245x250.gif)

Today's Trading Plan 1/21/22

This member is verified by the Commonstock team based on their contributions to the Commonstock community. 

Verified Member

This member connected a brokerage account and is sharing trades and portfolio performance with the community. 

Public Portfolio

sam stribling

Peloton Interactive Inc - Class A

I posted a memo yesterday titled "[Peloton and the Kiss(es) of Death](https://commonstock.com/memo/672ed113-70a7-4d37-aaab-a74cac99166e)".

Turns out that halting production of bikes and treads was the real Kiss of Death [$PTON](https://twitter.com/search?q=%24PTON&src=cashtag_click)

![](https://cdn.commonstock.com/2f04d77421c134818efe423e267d683687acbd92aabb0a1a142e74aecc248419-679x386.png?w=704&fit=max)

The below is an excerpt from my newsletter, Investment Talk, that I sent out this morning. $PTON

As I perused the headlines yesterday, I came across a CNBC ar…

https://commonstock.com/memo/672ed113-70a7-4d37-aaab-a74cac99166e

Peloton and the Kiss(es) of Death by Conor Mac | Commonstock

13h ago @Gautam__Baid tweeted: ""A pin lies in wait for every bubble. An.." - read what others are saying and join the conversation.

https://twitter.com/search?q=%24PTON&src=cashtag_click

$PTON - Twitter Search

Conor Mac

Teladoc Health Inc

Tesla Inc

Teladoc Stock is Like Tesla back in 2019. Let's have a look.

$TDOC $TSLA
[https://youtu.be/QZfiocDOrbs](https://youtu.be/QZfiocDOrbs)
![](https://cdn.commonstock.com/1da72ea85c1437ffbdf073196e47f09c54bfb25c89ec768e7d5b0387d54d9c06-1280x720.png)

In this video, I will be talking about Teladoc stock and why it's a screaming buy at these levels. Teladoc is Cathie Wood Ark Invest' 2nd biggest position. A...

Teladoc stock is Like Tesla 2019 | Is Teladoc A Buy Right Now? | TDOC Stock

Neil

Looking through some of my investment thesis and current valuations, and I can't help but to want to add to positions...

I don't have much cash available, but I'm salivating over some of these deals.

In my opinion the best risk/reward in my portfolio is still AcuityAds

It hit a new 52 week low today, and I'm adding shares.  Likely more small adds coming soon.

Here's the Memo I wrote about AcuityAds back in November:
[https://commonstock.com/memo/9e12dd53-f8e2-448c-91f5-ef9b02994564](https://commonstock.com/memo/9e12dd53-f8e2-448c-91f5-ef9b02994564)

https://commonstock.com/memo/9e12dd53-f8e2-448c-91f5-ef9b02994564

Opportunity's

ParrotStock

Some Lynch wisdom to start your day... 😊

"The key to making money in stocks, is to not get scared out of them"

~Peter Lynch

🦜

JD.com Inc - ADR

Shopify Inc - Class A

Shopify & JD.com form strategic partnership to make it easier for US merchants to sell to consumers in China.

I'm still digesting what this means for Shopify, US & Chinese regulators, and even the trade gap.  But this is very interesting news...

Would love to hear opinions on the significance of this deal. 🙏👇

$SHOP $JD

🦜

[https://news.shopify.com/shopify-and-jdcom-unlock-worlds-largest-e-commerce-market-for-merchants](https://news.shopify.com/shopify-and-jdcom-unlock-worlds-largest-e-commerce-market-for-merchants)

Shopify and JD.com strike strategic partnership, making it easier for US merchants to sell to consumers in China

https://news.shopify.com/shopify-and-jdcom-unlock-worlds-largest-e-commerce-market-for-merchants

Shopify and JD.com unlock world’s largest ecommerce market for merchants

Shopify + JD.com

Pretty much in-line with expectations (although I think the market was expecting a miss here)...  Early reaction is positive, we'll see if that holds.

*US Nov Consumer Prices +0.8%; Consensus +0.7%

*US Nov CPI Ex-Food & Energy +0.5%; Consensus +0.5%

*US Nov Consumer Prices Increase 6.8% From Year Earlier; Core CPI Up 4.9% Over Year

*US Nov CPI Energy Prices +3.5%; Food Prices +0.7%

🦜

SSgA Active Trust - S&P 500 ETF TRUST ETF

Despite the market sell-off today, most of the volume is extremely low.

This looks like a lack of buyer's vs too many sellers.

I'm adding some YOLO $SPY calls for a potential rebound tomorrow. (small allocation)

I think everyone is waiting on CPI tomorrow.

🦜

Bought SPY $472 Calls

Kubient Inc

Magnite Inc

PubMatic Inc - Class A

Happy Thursday everybody!

After the big run up the last 3 days, I took a little leverage off at the open this morning, selling options in $KBNT $PUBM $MGNI and raising cash to 2%

A little de-risking, and re-loading of some dry powder.

I expect some continued turbulence, but hoping for a confirmation of moving in a positive direction over the next few weeks.

You guy's planning any moves today? 👇

🦜

Sold MGNI $20 Calls

Sold all PUBM $40 Calls

Sold all KBNT $2.50 Calls

AcuityAds Holdings Inc

Bought 25% more ATY

Sold all VIX $15 Puts

PayPal Holdings Inc

Bought 33% more PYPL $200 Calls

Bought 50% more PYPL $200 Calls

New position in PYPL

Bought 50% more TDOC

Sea Ltd - ADR

Bought SE $200 Calls

ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Innovation ETF

Bought ARKK

Lemonade Inc

Bought 20% more LMND

Bought 20% more PUBM

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. - Class A

Bought 20% more ZI

Digital Turbine Inc

Bought 43% more APPS

Bought KBNT $2.50 Calls

Carnival Corp. (Paired Stock)

I finally got around to looking at Carnival's 4Q earnings report, and there are a lot of things to like.

- Revenue per passenger up 4% from 2019 (pre-Covid) numbers
- As of November, 8 of 9 brands with 61% of total capacity was operating with guests aboard, with the remainder scheduled to resume by spring '22
- 4th Quarter occupancy was 58%
- Cash from operations turned positive in November, expect "consistent" positive cashflow starting in 2Q2022
- $9.4 Billion in cash & equivalents, essentially the same liquidity level as last year, with significantly improved cash flow
- Advanced bookings for the second half of '22 & first of '23 at high end of historical ranges (with higher prices), as compared to 2019
- Customer deposits increased $360 Million in 4Q21 to a total of $3.5 billion
- Refinanced $9 billion ($2.6b in the Q) to date, reducing $400 million in annual interest

The biggest factors for me are their existing debt, current liquidity, and cash burn (currently $510m/month).

Based on being back to full capacity in Spring 2022 and consistently cash flow positive by 2Q2022, they should have ample cash on hand to finance operations.

I'm starting a recovery play position here for 2022, where I expect minimal downside remaining, an initial $30 target, and a potential to see $40 again in the coming 12 months. (I don't typically publish price targets, these are rough personal targets that I've decided to share with the community.  I will make buy/sell decisions based on market conditions and personal circumstances at the time.)

With Covid (hopefully) on it's last legs, pent up demand reinforced by increase deposits & advanced bookings, and a return to a full fleet; I could see this becoming a popular trade going into next spring.

Starting a full 2% position.  Will consider adding on weakness (with no fundamental change), and cutting the trade below $18/share (with fundamental change).

What are your thoughts on $CCL heading into 2022? 👇

🦜