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Economic Update 8/11
Stocks are mixed Friday as an inflation reading that was slightly hotter than expected. Both $QQQ and $SPY are lower and are trending toward a 2nd straight losing week. It would be the first time $QQQ was lower on consecutive weeks in 2023. $DIA is higher and currently on track to post a gain for the week.

For economic data today, the Producer Price Index rose 0.3% in July, slightly higher than expected & the biggest monthly gain since January. Prices were up 0.8% YoY, up from 0.2% last month. Core prices were up 0.3% MoM, which was also the largest monthly increase since January. Core prices increased 2.4% YoY, which is the lowest level since January 2021.

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Elsewhere, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index edged lower to 71.2 in the preliminary August reading. Current conditions were slightly higher at 77.4, while consumer expectations were lower at a reading of 67.3. Year-ahead inflation expectations were 3.3%, down from 3.4%.

Treasury yields are higher, with the 2-year T yield up 5.8 basis points to 4.88%, the 5-year T yield up 7.7 basis points to 4.28%, and the 10-year T yield up 6.2 basis points to 4.14%. The shortest-term advance rates are slightly lower, while the rest of the advance curve is higher.

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