Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
$22.8m follower assets
My Worst Trade
Many moons ago, I worked at Two Rivers Golf Club in South Dakota. At the time, it was owned by MidAmerican Energy, which itself was owned by Uncle Warren and $BRK.A.

I'll never forget that my checks came from 666 Grand Ave., Des Moines, IA.

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Due to some creative accounting issues within the payroll department, I received a couple thousand dollars in a 401k from a class action lawsuit that showed we should've had a 401k all along.

Armed with this cash, I picked up about $1,000 worth of $EBAY, around $20 a share, after listening to a Motley Fool Money podcast highlighting how their upcoming spinoff of $PYPL would unlock value.

However, I switched jobs and had to sell and rebuy my investments in a new IRA, since they wouldn't let me transfer shares.

No big deal, sell and rebuy eBay, right?

Well, I didn't. I was convinced I'd found better options.

Now eBay is up somewhere around 100% in the time since 2015 -- which isn't too bad to stomach.

But, the PayPal shares I would've received have also doubled since (not to mention they were up as much as 700% just two years ago).

So while maybe this isn't the most significant swing and miss in the percentage of returns lit on fire, it stands out to me as one of my worst trades because I sold (and didn't rebuy) for reasons that had nothing to do with either company's investment thesis -- just merely that I was convinced I could do better, elsewhere.

This single event always comes to mind when considering selling a company I own and plays a significant role in explaining why I tend to hold forever, even with a temporarily broken thesis.

It all ties back to my FOMO on future returns from stocks that I sell too soon -- which always seems to be most investors' single greatest trading regret.

I'd be curious to find out if you all think of this as an overreaction to one event or if I might've taken the correct lesson from a poor trading decision.

Thanks as always for reading. šŸ™
Todor Kostov's avatar
@joryko Thanks for the post, Josh. There will be always future opportunities to invest so no point pondering too much on past misses.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
@kostofff Thank you, Todor šŸ™

That is very true, just a great investing lesson to remember.


Todor Kostov's avatar
@joryko Correct.
Dividend Dollars's avatar
Never beat yourself up over stuff like this. Hindsight is always 2020 and moves like that are unpredictable
Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
@dividenddollars Absolutely, I appreciate that šŸ‘

Just want to make sure I adjust accordingly for the future.
Plutus's avatar
Chalk it up my friend. Like @dividenddollars said, hindsight is always 2020 and that thought process can lead to even more poor trades.

There will be another trade in the coming years that you swing and make contact on! Just sit back and wait for the pitch in your wheel house.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
@plutus13 Absolutely right, thank you, Plutus šŸ™
SLT Research's avatar
Thanks for sharing Josh. Looking at the past we all have missed opportunities but the most important here is to learn from this and only trade based on a strong investment thesis
Josh Kohn-Lindquist's avatar
@slt_research Exactly, thank you SLT ā€” Iā€™m learning to be much more patient with a broken thesis in general.

A lot of the news on a stock is noise, quarter to quarter. I always do best if I just wait a few days before doing anything. Doing nothing is usually my best move. šŸ˜‚

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