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September Commonstock Watchlist Update
I added a large number of names to my Watchlist in August after completing a screener on Koyfin. There are some new names, particularly in my Roth Watchlist.

I have also taken advice not to add new holdings for the sake of diversification. I am only focusing on the top rated holdings in my Watchlists, even if they are not in my target sectors.

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Roth IRA
Goal - to add to un-represented sectors in portfolio. These sectors are Healthcare, Defense, Consumer Discretionary and Utilities.

August Watchlist:

Add:

Remove:

For reference:
  • S&P Price Gain 1 Year is +14.9%
  • S&P 3 Year is +31.5%.
  • Portfolio Average Dividend Yield is 2.61%
  • Portfolio 95th Percentile Yield is 5.42%
  • Median 1 Year DGR - 5.88%
  • Median 3 Year DGR - 3.83%
  • S&P 500 P/E is 23.46
  • Portfolio Median P/E is 21.80

Consumer Discretionary:
$GES - 6/7
  • Price vs S&P - +1. 1 Yr +38.8% vs +14.9% and 3 Yr +57.5% vs +31.5%.
  • FCF Rank - +1. Div/FCF is 36.63% and less than 50%.
  • Conviction - +0.5. Medium.
  • Dividend Yield - +0.5. Yield of 4.33% is higher than average, less than Top 5%.
  • Dividend Growth - +1. 1 Year DGR of 23.81% and 3 Year DGR of 63.03% are both higher than portfolio medians.
  • Weighting - +1. Currently no holdings in sector.
  • P/E - +1. 10.46 is less than portfolio median and S&P.
  • Source: Koyfin Screener 9/4/23

Defense:
$LMT - 5.5/7
  • Price vs S&P - 0. 1 Yr +2.4% vs +14.9% and 3 Yr +7.2% vs +31.5%.
  • FCF Rank - +1. Div/FCF is 47.64% and less than 50%.
  • Conviction - +1. High.
  • Dividend Yield - +0.5. Yield of 2.74% is higher than average, less than Top 5%.
  • Dividend Growth - +1. 1 Year DGR of 7.55% and 3 Year DGR of 8.20% are both higher than portfolio medians.
  • Weighting - +1. Currently no holdings in sector.
  • P/E - +1. 15.50 is less than portfolio median and S&P.
  • Source: Pre-2023

Utilities:
$CCOI - 5.5/7
  • Price vs S&P - +0.5. 1 Yr +2.4% vs +14.9% and 3 Yr +7.2% vs +31.5%.
  • FCF Rank - +0.5. Div/FCF is 172.64% and greater than 50%. Definitely a red flag.
  • Conviction - +0.5. High.
  • Dividend Yield - +1. Yield of 5.62% is higher than Top 5%.
  • Dividend Growth - +1. 1 Year DGR of 9.20% and 3 Year DGR of 12.28% are both higher than portfolio medians.
  • Weighting - +1. Currently no holdings in sector.
  • P/E - +1. 2.77 is less than portfolio median and S&P.
  • Source: Koyfin Screener 9/4/23

Taxable
Goal - to track companies in sectors I will most likely sell out of that have higher rankings than current holdings.

I am currently less than 1% weighted in $CRON and $BUD, so Sin Stocks are a target sector. I do not have any holdings in Entertainment or Real Estate.

For reference:
  • S&P Price Gain 1 Year is +14.9%
  • S&P 3 Year is +31.5%.
  • Portfolio Average Total Yield is 4.42%
  • Portfolio 95th Total Yield is 8.50%
  • S&P 500 P/E is 23.46
  • Portfolio Median P/E is 18.89

August Watchlist:

Add:

Remove:
None

Defense:
$LMT - 5.5/7
  • Price vs S&P - 0. 1 Yr +2.4% vs +14.9% and 3 Yr +7.2% vs +31.5%.
  • FCF Rank - +1. Div/FCF is 47.64% and less than 50%.
  • Conviction - +1. High.
  • Total Yield - +1. Yield of 8.75% is higher than Top 5%.
  • Share Count - +1. Share count is down 3.9% since start of 2023.
  • Weighting - +0.5. Currently one holding in sector ($RTX), but under target weight.
  • P/E - +1. 15.50 is less than portfolio median and S&P.
  • Source: Pre-2023

Summary
If I were to be buying right now, I would buy both $ETD and $GES in my Roth IRA.

In my Taxable account, I would buy $OMC. I will most likely be sold out of my current Sin Stock and Defense holdings by the time I make my annual new position adds in January. That will increase the current rankings of $PENN and $LMT. I would purchase either of those two prior to $OMC, if they were tied.

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