Ob2's avatar
$14.8m follower assets
Better to be roughly right than precisely wrong; none better than exhibited on the history of FED inflation forecasts. I am a fan favorite of complex adaptive systems / complexity economics. This op-ed by Niall Ferguson is a great look into that mirror. Nobody Knows How Long Inflation Will Last. That’s Life. I’m instinctively a social norm’er when specifically assessing future inflation. I’m nobody’s genius despite my poorly titled Substack paid subscription newsletter (I’m sure my subscribers would agree!) But I generally rely on the a the fed weekly economic indicator.
Which systematic bias are you?!😆
11%Bandwagon effect
33%Social normalization
9 VotesPoll ended on: 09/13/22
Nathan Worden's avatar
Love this poll 😄