Pat Connolly's avatar
$126.2m follower assets
Researching Restaurants
When looking at restaurants what are the KPI's everyone looks at?

What are some good case studies to examine as to why some chains can reach escape velocity constantly opening new locations while others stall and begin to close locations?

Should investors favor companies that rely on franchise growth or those that manage their own locations?

Should investors favor food categories that are relevantly uncompetitive like $KRUS (CC: @investmenttalk) or try to find strong companies among a competitive category? Think burgers, pizza, and subs -- there are so many players within these categories with brands constantly going in and out of favor.

What are some industry growth drivers to consider?
  • Health trends
  • Ghost kitchens
  • Mobile ordering
  • Reward points
  • Dine-in vs takeout only locations

This is a sector I have never really looked at despite being an avid consumer of fast casual dining. My interest in the sector has piqued after learning that there are publicly traded $DPZ franchise groups & after considering that $SHAK growth strategy may actually suffer from dis-economies of scale.
Paul Cerro's avatar
$37.2m follower assets
Sweetgreen $SG is so overvalued it's nuts
Just published my next SHORT idea, Sweetgreen $SG The company touts being part health food part tech startup but is anything but. Having never been profitable in its entire life, this simple, over-priced salad maker will go down further.

Compared to it's competitors, $CMG $SHAK $PTLO $DPZ, it doesn't look pretty

See why below

Alberto Wallis's avatar
$23.3m follower assets
Upcoming Earnings Calendar (Feb 14th - 18th)
Hey guys! Here's the upcoming earnings calendar! Three of my holdings report next week.

  • $ABNB - The stock has held up pretty well during the market sell-off. The valuation is still high, but with re-openings the company could see a big boost this year.
  • $TTD - They've said Apple IDFA is a non-issue, so their growth should be great. A key indicator of ad spend.
  • $ROKU - The stock is down almost 64% from ATH, but the fundamentals keep improving. I expect great results from the company, with ARPU growing and margins expanding.

If you'd like an easier way to track earnings dates, you can automatically sync your portfolio's earning dates to your personal calendar with just a couple of clicks here.

MON:


TUE:


WED:


THU:


FRI:
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Sean's avatar
$106.2m follower assets
Thinking about getting back into a name I used to own for most of this year but sold it as rates heavily declined in early July.

$SHAK growth paired with reasonable EBITDA multiple is quite enticing and relative underperformance of late can bring some ST opportunity.

Here is the broad restaurant space multiple comparison (QSR + sit down) using 2021-2023 Revenue CAGR vs 2022 EV/EBITDA multiple
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Eric Pelnik's avatar
$284.3m follower assets
Earnings this week
📞Which calls are you most excited about?

Monday, July 26th
$CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics
$HAS Hasbro
$TSLA Tesla

Tuesday, July 27th
$MMM 3M
$GOOGL Alphabet
$JBLU JetBlue
$AAPL Apple
$AMD Advanced Micro Devices
$SWK Stanley Black & Decker
$GE General Electric
$SHW Sherwin-Williams
$SBUX Starbucks
$MSFT Microsoft
$CAKE Cheesecake Factory
$FISV Fiserv
$TDOC Teladoc Health
$TENB Tenable
$V Visa
$WM Waste Management
$JNPR Juniper Networks

Wednesday, July 28th
$BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb
$BA Boeing
$F Ford Motor
$MCD McDonald's
$LC LendingClub
$FB Facebook
$GRMN Garmin
$QCOM Qualcomm
$SHAK Shake Shack
$PFE Pfizer
$NOW ServiceNow
$SHOP Shopify
$PFPT Proofpoint
$SPOT Spotify

Thursday, July 29th
$AMZN Amazon
$TEAM Atlassian
$AMT American Tower
$TAP Molson Coors Beverage
$GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber
$NOC Northrop Grunman
$KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
$GILD Gilead Sciences
$MA Mastercard
$TWLO Twilio
$ZEN Zendesk
$MSTR Microstrategy
$UPWK Upwork

Friday, July 30th
$ABBV Abbvie
$CHD Church & Dwight
$XOM Exxon Mobil
$PG Procter & Gamble
$CAT Caterpillar
$CVX Chevron
$VFC VF Corp

Sources: Business Insider, Google Finance, and Yahoo Finance
Eric Pelnik's avatar
$284.3m follower assets
Earnings this week
📞 Which calls are you most excited about?

Monday, May 3rd
$APPF AppFolio
$CAR Avis Budget Group
$IRBT iRobot
$CHGG Chegg
$EL Estee Lauder
$ZI ZoomInfo Technologies
$MELI Mercadolibre

Tuesday, May 4th
$ATVI Activision Blizzard
$UAA Under Armour
$APO Apollo Global Management
$AKAM Akamai Technologies
$AYX Alteryx
$WMG Warner Music Group
$CVS CVS Health
$MPC Marathon Petroleum
$MCFE Mcafee Corp
$KKR KKR & Co
$TRI Thomson Reuters
$D Dominion Energy
$ESPR Esperion Therapeutics
$ZG Zillow Group
$SPCE Virgin Galactic
$MTCH Match Group
$LYFT Lyft
$PFE Pfizer
$UPWK Upwork
$SPT Sprout Social
$WYNN Wynn Resorts

Wednesday, May 5th
$TUP Tupperware Brands
$BKNG Booking Holdings
$SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro
$RDFN Redfin
$GM General Motors
$ELY Callaway Golf
$ETSY Etsy
$FSLY Fastly
$GDDY GoDaddy
$HUBS HubSpot
$PYPL PayPal
$TWLO Twilio
$ZNGA Zynga

Thursday, May 6th
$APRN Blue Apron
$TWST Twist Bioscience
$BYND Beyond Meat
$BL BlackLine
$MNST Monster Beverage
$BILL Bill.com
$CVNA Carvana
$NET Cloudflare
$DDOG Datadog
$DBX Dropbox
$EXPE Expedia
$EB Eventbrite
$FVRR Fiverr
$FNF Fidelity
$FNKO Funko
$GRPN Groupon
$GPRO GoPro
$MHK Mohawk
$W Wayfair
$SHAK Shake Shack
$PZZA Papa John's
$YELP Yelp
$MRNA Moderna
$VIAC ViacomCBS
$SQ Square
$PTON Peloton
$ROKU Roku
$FROG JFrog

Friday, May 7th
$CNK Cinemark
$DKNG Draftkings

Sources: Business Insider, Google Finance, and Yahoo Finance
Very excited for Peloton. Especially to see if they announce any new products and how their guidance over the next year looks
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Tracking Results of 'The Market' Game
Tomorrow we will be holding another round of 'The Market' stock pitching game live over Zoom at 5:30pm PST / 8:30pm EST! One of the fun things about this game is tracking the performance of the pitches.

One month ago at the event we had twelve pitches, and some great discussion. Here's how those ideas turned out:

Congratulations to Ryan C @rconn2986 for the pitch that has performed the best with Skillz! $SKLZ is an online mobile multiplayer competition platform that is integrated into a number of iOS and Android games.

At the live game Skillz was also the pitch that received the most votes- it's cool to see the Commonstock community forecasting the best performing stock over the next month. Let's see if that continues!

The average one-month return of the stock pitches last week was +7.9% while the S&P 500 returned +2.9%. Not too shabby.

If you'd like to attend the live game tomorrow, please DM me or comment below, and I can send you a calendar invite with the Zoom link!

I've been chatting with all the pitchers for tomorrow and I'm excited for the companies they'll be pitching. A lot of names I hadn't heard of before.

See you all tomorrow!

@rconn2986 @amanda @nwzh @pat_connolly @northstarcapital @aaronkettl @jacobsteele

@tyler asked, so I also pulled results from the game we had in December. Now I know why he asked- because Tyler's pick of MicroVision absolutely crushed i! 😆

These returns are from December 17th, 2020, through today, Feb. 12th, 2021.
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"The Market" Game Recap
Thanks everyone for coming to "The Market" game last night! We had 16 people concurrently (about 20 total coming and going over the course of an hour and a half).

My favorite part was the discussion- people asked really good questions and we got a great conversation going. Check out @grace 's memo on some of her takeaways for a glimpse of the juicy learnings: https://share.commonstock.com/arn0mpYH3cb

If you'd like to receive a calendar invite for next month's game, shoot me a DM with your email and join the group channel here: https://share.commonstock.com/share?invite=FIkFbJ

Here is a recap of the picks, and the Commonstock users who pitched them, in case you want to reach out to them and learn more:

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3
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This was one of the coolest moments in my Commonstock journey. It probably sounds corny, but having passionate community members make connections with each other and pull the product out of us is a truly special feeling... Now we just need to build it!

Thank you @nathanworden for creating this and thank you so much to everyone for joining last night and for your amazing ideas!

Can't wait to see if that chart @rconn2986 drew will be accurate! Everyone lookout for the drawdown in ~April 2020 😬
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Eric Pelnik's avatar
$284.3m follower assets
Some earnings this week
Monday, July 27th
$HAS Hasbro

Tuesday, July 28th

$TWOU 2U
$MMM 3M

$AFL Aflac

$JBLU JetBlue

$AKAM Akamai

$AMD Advanced Micro Devices

$MCD Mcdonald's Corp

$MKL Markel$SBUX Starbucks

$SHW Sherwin-Williams

$RTX Raytheon

$HOG Harley-Davidson

$EBAY eBay

$FEYE FireEye

$TENB Tenable

Wednesday, July 29th
$APRN Blue Apron
$BA Boeing

$GE General Electric

$SMG Scott's Miracle-Gro

$GM General Motors

$FB Facebook

$TDOC Teladoc

$PYPL PayPal

$QCOM Qualcomm

$SHOP Shopify

$SPOT Spotify

Thursday, July 30th
$GOOGL Alphabet

$AMZN Amazon

$TEAM Atlassian

$EA Electronic Arts

$AAPL Apple

$CROX Crocs

$F Ford Motor

$PG Procter & Gamble

$KHC Kraft Heinz

$DVA DaVita

$EXPE Expedia

$SHAK Shake Shack

$WM Waste Management

$UPS United Parcel Service

Friday, July 31st
$MRK Merck & Co

$CHD Church & Dwight

$CHTR Charter Communications

$XOM Exxon Mobile

$CAT Caterpillar

$CVX Chevron

$PINS Pinterest
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Commonstock is a social network that amplifies the knowledge of the best investors, verified by actual track records for signal over noise. Community members can link their existing brokerage accounts and share their real time portfolio, performance and trades (by percent only, dollar amounts never shared). Commonstock is not a brokerage, but a social layer on top of existing brokerages helping to create more engaged and informed investors.